Predicted Edge

By market

Over 2.5 goals predictions

Matches our model rates most likely to have three or more goals. The probability is derived from both teams’ expected goals, not from the odds.

0 published matches in the next 14 days, strongest first. 38 more fixtures get a prediction at least 24 hours before kick-off.

No published predictions yet for the next 14 days. They appear at least 24 hours before kick-off. See the next fixtures.

Probabilities are estimates from a Dixon–Coles model fitted on results and expected goals. A high probability is not a certainty: a 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten.