Predicted Edge

Singapore v Brazil

Singapore won 0 of the last 5Brazil won 4 of the last 5
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
70%
Over 3.5
48%
Both score
66%
Model pick
Brazil 59%
Likely score
1-2 9%
Expected goals
1.31 – 2.29

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Members

Every market, priced — members only

11 selections across the match result, Asian handicap, total goals, both teams to score and correct score, each with our probability and fair price beside the best price available and the gap between them. Published for everyone once the day is over.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Brazil favoured against Singapore

Our model makes Singapore 21% to win this Friendlies fixture, with the draw at 20% and Brazil at 59%. The goal projection is 1.31 for Singapore against 2.29 for Brazil — a commanding edge to Brazil on expected output. A combined 3.60 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 70% and both teams to score at 66%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-2 9%
1-1 9%
0-2 7%
1-3 7%
2-2 6%

This season

Season records for Singapore and Brazil
Singapore Brazil
8Played7
2-1-5W-D-L5-1-1
0.88Pts / game2.29
1.00Goals for / game3.00
3.13Goals against / game1.29
88%Over 2.586%
63%BTTS86%
13%Clean sheets14%
25%Failed to score0%
1-1-2Home record3-0-1
1-0-3Away record2-1-0
L3StreakW2

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Singapore · Brazil

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
—Shots18.0
—Shots on target6.7
—Corners7.3
—Cards1.00
—Fouls9.3
—Possession %61
—xG—
—sample3 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
—Shots8.0
—Shots on target2.3
—Corners6.3
—Cards1.50
—Fouls10.0
—Possession %39
—xG—
—sample3 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
SingaporeMetricBrazil
0.80Goals scored2.40 (better)
2.40Goals conceded1.20 (better)
Expected goals (xG)1.97
Big chances
3.67Shots on target6.20 (better)
11.33Total shots17.40 (better)
Touches in opp. box
2.67Corners6.60 (better)
47.0Possession %57.0 (better)
490Passes555 (better)
Tackles
10.33Fouls7.80 (better)
1.67 (better)Offsides3.75
Throw-ins
2.33Yellow cards1.25 (better)
0.33Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

No previous meetings on record.