Predicted Edge

By market

Both teams to score predictions today and this week

Matches where our model gives both sides the best chance of scoring at least once.

270 published matches in the next 14 days, strongest first; the 60 strongest are listed, and the rest are on their day pages. 208 more fixtures get a prediction at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Both teams to score means each side scores at least once in ninety minutes. This season it has happened in 57% of 5,550 matches across 38 leagues, from 74% (A-League) to 45% (Süper Lig). Of the 270 matches with a published prediction in the next 14 days, the model’s highest probability is for Dijon v Orleans (Friday 13 November), at 78%.

Both teams to score predictions today 9

UEFA Nations League1Prediction
Copa del Rey2Prediction
Friendlies6Prediction

Both teams to score predictions tomorrow 5

Coupe de France1Prediction
Friendlies4Prediction

Both teams to score predictions later this week and next 46

UEFA Nations League2Prediction
Brasileirão Série A2Prediction
Copa del Rey1Prediction
Coupe de France15Prediction
League One1Prediction
League Two2Prediction
Segunda División2Prediction
Friendlies21Prediction

Probabilities are estimates from a Dixon–Coles model fitted on results and expected goals. A high probability is not a certainty: a 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten.

Every market for every match: today’s predictions · tomorrow’s predictions

Both teams scored: how often, league by league

The share of this season’s finished matches in each league that ended this way; across all 38 leagues listed, 57% of 5,550 matches. A probability on this page well above its league’s rate is the model seeing something in the two sides; one close to it is close to an ordinary match there.

LeaguePlayedBoth teams scored
A-League2374%
Eredivisie10870%
Swiss Super League7868%
Ekstraklasa12465%
Major League Soccer51064%
Chinese Super League24063%
Championship18062%
Liga MX14361%
Danish Superliga8461%
Bundesliga8160%
The other 28 leagues
LeaguePlayedBoth teams scored
Eliteserien20860%
Hungarian NB I7760%
Ligue 19059%
Serie B10959%
Brasileirão Série A33959%
Serie A11058%
League Two16458%
League One15857%
Austrian Bundesliga7257%
2. Bundesliga9957%
Scottish Premiership7556%
Croatian HNL6356%
La Liga11955%
K League 121055%
J1 League14055%
Ligue 210855%
Saudi Pro League10454%
Segunda División14053%
Chance Liga11151%
Allsvenskan22451%
Greek Super League6951%
Premier League10049%
Veikkausliiga17949%
Belgian Pro League9948%
Romanian Liga I12048%
Liga Profesional Argentina49548%
Primeira Liga9847%
Süper Lig9945%

Leagues with at least 10 finished matches this season. Ninety minutes only. More on the statistics hub.

How these are chosen

Each fixture’s probability is the model’s chance that neither side keeps a clean sheet, summed over every scoreline in which both sides score. It rises where both attacks are productive and both defences leaky, and falls where one side rarely scores or rarely concedes.

What does both teams to score mean?
That each side scores at least once in ninety minutes. 1–1 and 3–1 win the bet; 2–0 loses it, however many goals there are.
Is both teams to score the same as over 2.5 goals?
No. They overlap but settle differently: 1–1 is a win for both teams to score and a loss for over 2.5, while 3–0 is the reverse. The model prices each from the same scoreline distribution, so the two figures on a match page are consistent with each other.

League rates are on the statistics hub; the method is set out in full under how it works.

Both teams to score picks: how the price moved

Members get each pick the moment it is published; the free picks follow later in the morning and the rest are public once the day is over. The last 10 settled both teams to score picks, with the price each was published at and the last price before kick-off, whichever way it moved.

A shorter closing price means the market moved towards the pick after it was published. It says nothing about whether the pick won; the day pages carry every outcome. Membership is £4.99 a month.