Predicted Edge

News

Previews and reviews

Every round previewed before it starts, with the model's probabilities for each match, and reviewed afterwards against what actually happened. Written from the site's own data; nothing is edited after the fact.

Probabilities are estimates from a Dixon–Coles model fitted on results and expected goals, published at least 24 hours before kick-off. A high probability is not a certainty. The method is set out under how it works.