Predicted Edge

Switzerland U18 v England U18

England U18 won 3 of the last 4
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
45%
Both score
67%
Model pick
England U18 47%
Likely score
1-1 10%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.93

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Members

Every market, priced — members only

11 selections across the match result, Asian handicap, total goals, both teams to score and correct score, each with our probability and fair price beside the best price available and the gap between them. Published for everyone once the day is over.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

England U18 favoured against Switzerland U18

Our model makes Switzerland U18 30% to win this Friendlies fixture, with the draw at 23% and England U18 at 47%. The goal projection is 1.53 for Switzerland U18 against 1.93 for England U18 — a clear edge to England U18 on expected output. A combined 3.46 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 67% and both teams to score at 67%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-1 10%
1-2 9%
2-1 7%
2-2 7%
0-2 6%

This season

Season records for Switzerland U18 and England U18
Switzerland U18 England U18
—Played4
—W-D-L3-0-1
—Pts / game2.25
—Goals for / game2.50
—Goals against / game1.25
—Over 2.575%
—BTTS75%
—Clean sheets0%
—Failed to score25%
—Home record0-0-1
—Away record3-0-0
—StreakL1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Switzerland U18 · England U18

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Conceded

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Switzerland U18MetricEngland U18
1.20Goals scored2.50 (better)
2.00Goals conceded1.25 (better)
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

No previous meetings on record.