Predicted Edge

Thailand U23 v Singapore U23

Thailand U23 won 1 of the last 5Singapore U23 won 0 of the last 1
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
70%
Over 3.5
49%
Both score
70%
Model pick
Thailand U23 46%
Likely score
1-1 9%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.64

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Members

Every market, priced — members only

11 selections across the match result, Asian handicap, total goals, both teams to score and correct score, each with our probability and fair price beside the best price available and the gap between them. Published for everyone once the day is over.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Thailand U23 favoured against Singapore U23

Our model makes Thailand U23 46% to win this Friendlies fixture, with the draw at 22% and Singapore U23 at 32%. The goal projection is 2.00 for Thailand U23 against 1.64 for Singapore U23 — a clear edge to Thailand U23 on expected output. A combined 3.64 goals points to a wide-open game that could get away from either side, which puts over 2.5 at 70% and both teams to score at 70%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-1 9%
2-1 9%
2-2 7%
1-2 7%
3-1 6%

This season

Season records for Thailand U23 and Singapore U23
Thailand U23 Singapore U23
6Played1
1-1-4W-D-L0-1-0
0.67Pts / game1.00
1.33Goals for / game0.00
2.67Goals against / game0.00
83%Over 2.50%
67%BTTS0%
17%Clean sheets100%
17%Failed to score100%
1-0-2Home record0-0-0
0-1-2Away record0-1-0
L4StreakD1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Thailand U23 · Singapore U23

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
4.0Shots1.0
2.0Shots on target1.0
2.0Corners0.0
0.00Cards3.00
—Fouls—
42Possession %37
—xG—
1 matchessample1 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
15.0Shots13.0
11.0Shots on target4.0
7.0Corners5.0
0.00Cards3.00
—Fouls—
58Possession %63
—xG—
1 matchessample1 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Thailand U23MetricSingapore U23
2.00 (better)Goals scored0.40
2.80 (better)Goals conceded3.00
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
2.00Shots on target
7.00Total shots
Touches in opp. box
5.00Corners
42.0Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
4.00Yellow cards
0.00Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

No previous meetings on record.