Predicted Edge

Brazil U20 v Peru U20

Brazil U20 won 5 of the last 5Peru U20 won 0 of the last 4
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
42%
Both score
56%
Model pick
Brazil U20 68%
Likely score
2-0 10%
Expected goals
2.33 – 0.96

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Members

Every market, priced — members only

11 selections across the match result, Asian handicap, total goals, both teams to score and correct score, each with our probability and fair price beside the best price available and the gap between them. Published for everyone once the day is over.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Brazil U20 favoured against Peru U20

Our model makes Brazil U20 68% to win this Friendlies fixture, with the draw at 19% and Peru U20 at 14%. The goal projection is 2.33 for Brazil U20 against 0.96 for Peru U20 — a commanding edge to Brazil U20 on expected output. A combined 3.29 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 64% and both teams to score at 56%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 10%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Brazil U20 is a strong favourite here on the numbers, but a 32% chance of not winning is not a remote possibility — it is roughly a one-in-three shot. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
2-0 10%
2-1 10%
1-1 9%
1-0 8%
3-0 8%

This season

Season records for Brazil U20 and Peru U20
Brazil U20 Peru U20
8Played4
8-0-0W-D-L0-2-2
3.00Pts / game0.50
2.63Goals for / game1.25
0.38Goals against / game1.75
50%Over 2.550%
38%BTTS100%
63%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score0%
7-0-0Home record0-0-0
1-0-0Away record0-2-2
W8StreakD1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Brazil U20 · Peru U20

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Conceded

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Brazil U20MetricPeru U20
2.80 (better)Goals scored1.00
0.20 (better)Goals conceded1.80
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

No previous meetings on record.