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Brasileirão Série A predictions: matchweek 34 (2–6 November 2026)

Every Brasileirão Série A match in matchweek 34 with the model's probabilities, the likeliest score, form, table positions and head-to-head behind each call.

Published 27 Oct 2026, updated 30 Oct 2026 · Written from the site’s own data

Brasileirão Série A, matchweek 34: ten matches, played across 2–6 November 2026. Our model has published a forecast for every one.

The strongest favourite is Flamengo, 69% to beat Gremio at home; the most evenly balanced game is Botafogo v Atletico-MG (Botafogo 34%, draw 26%, Atletico-MG 40%); the fixture expected to produce most goals is Cruzeiro v Bahia, at 3.26; the tightest looks Sao Paulo v Corinthians, at 2.06.

Going into the round, Flamengo lead on 73 points, three points clear of Palmeiras, with Cruzeiro third on 57. The bottom three are Corinthians (33), Remo (29), Chapecoense-sc (21).

The numbers this season

Brasileirão Série A has averaged 2.66 goals a game over 327 matches this season, with over 2.5 goals in 51% of them and both sides scoring in 59%. Home sides have won 48% of matches, 28% have been drawn and away sides have won 24%. Those rates are the base the model's probabilities are judged against: a call only stands out where it beats what the competition normally produces.

Match by match

RB Bragantino v SantosMon 2 Nov, 23:00

Our model makes RB Bragantino 42%, the draw 24% and Santos 33%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.17 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 64%. The headline call is over 2.5 goals at 61%. RB Bragantino are 9th on 44 points from 33; Santos are 8th on 47 points from 33. RB Bragantino have won two of their last five; Santos have won one of their last five. One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

Chapecoense-sc v MirassolTue 3 Nov, 22:30

Our model makes Chapecoense-sc 27%, the draw 26% and Mirassol 47%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.75 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is Mirassol to win at 47%. Chapecoense-sc are 20th on 21 points from 32; Mirassol are 16th on 37 points from 32. Chapecoense-sc have won one of their last five; Mirassol have won two of their last five.

Internacional v CoritibaWed 4 Nov, 00:30

Our model makes Internacional 51%, the draw 24% and Coritiba 25%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.94 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is over 2.5 goals at 56%. Internacional are 17th on 35 points from 33; Coritiba are 12th on 39 points from 32. Internacional have won two of their last five; Coritiba are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats).

Atletico Paranaense v Vasco DA GamaWed 4 Nov, 22:30

Our model makes Atletico Paranaense 47%, the draw 25% and Vasco DA Gama 28%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.95 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is over 2.5 goals at 56%. Atletico Paranaense are 5th on 54 points from 33; Vasco DA Gama are 13th on 38 points from 32. Atletico Paranaense have won one of their last five; Vasco DA Gama have won two of their last five.

Flamengo v GremioWed 4 Nov, 22:30

Our model makes Flamengo 69%, the draw 20% and Gremio 11%. The likeliest score is 2-0 (14%), 2.78 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 44%. The headline call is Flamengo to win at 69%. Flamengo are 1st on 73 points from 33; Gremio are 15th on 37 points from 33. Flamengo are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); Gremio have won two of their last five. One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

Botafogo v Atletico-MGThu 5 Nov, 00:30

Our model makes Botafogo 34%, the draw 26% and Atletico-MG 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.83 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%. Botafogo are 11th on 39 points from 33; Atletico-MG are 7th on 50 points from 33. Botafogo have won one of their last five; Atletico-MG have won two of their last five. One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

Sao Paulo v CorinthiansThu 5 Nov, 00:30

Our model makes Sao Paulo 44%, the draw 31% and Corinthians 25%. The likeliest score is 1-0 (15%), 2.06 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 41%. The headline call is both teams to score: no at 59%. Sao Paulo are 10th on 43 points from 33; Corinthians are 18th on 33 points from 32. Sao Paulo have won two of their last five; Corinthians are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats). Corinthians have won two of the sides' last three meetings.

Palmeiras v RemoThu 5 Nov, 22:30

Our model makes Palmeiras 69%, the draw 20% and Remo 11%. The likeliest score is 2-0 (14%), 2.76 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 44%. The headline call is Palmeiras to win at 69%. Palmeiras are 2nd on 70 points from 33; Remo are 19th on 29 points from 33. Palmeiras are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); Remo have won one of their last five.

Cruzeiro v BahiaFri 6 Nov, 00:30

Our model makes Cruzeiro 48%, the draw 24% and Bahia 28%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.26 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%. The headline call is over 2.5 goals at 63%. Cruzeiro are 3rd on 57 points from 33; Bahia are 6th on 53 points from 33. Cruzeiro have won four of their last five; Bahia have won two of their last five. Cruzeiro have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

Vitoria v FluminenseFri 6 Nov, 23:00

Our model makes Vitoria 32%, the draw 26% and Fluminense 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.84 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%. Vitoria are 14th on 38 points from 32; Fluminense are 4th on 54 points from 33. Vitoria have won one of their last five; Fluminense have won two of their last five. One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

How to read these

Every probability above comes from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals, and every market on a match page is derived from the same scoreline distribution, so the likely score, the totals and the match result cannot contradict each other. A 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten; nothing here is a certainty.

The model has published eleven picks on this round so far, where the best available price stands clear of its own probability and the market's consensus together. Each day's free picks appear on the homepage by 09:00 UK time; the rest are for members, and every pick is listed with its outcome once the day is over.