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Belgian Pro League predictions: matchweek 9 (23–25 October 2026)

Every Belgian Pro League match in matchweek 9 with the model's probabilities, the likeliest score, form, table positions and head-to-head behind each call.

Published 16 Oct 2026, updated 18 Oct 2026 · Written from the site’s own data

Belgian Pro League, matchweek 9: nine matches, played across 23–25 October 2026. Our model has published a forecast for every one.

The strongest favourite is Union St. Gilloise, 72% to beat Cercle Brugge at home; the most evenly balanced game is Gent v Anderlecht (Gent 41%, draw 29%, Anderlecht 30%); the fixture expected to produce most goals is Club Brugge KV v St. Truiden, at 3.84; the tightest looks Gent v Anderlecht, at 2.30.

Going into the round, Gent lead on 22 points, one point clear of Club Brugge KV, with Charleroi third on 21. The bottom three are RAAL La Louvière (4), Cercle Brugge (3), Kortrijk (3).

The numbers this season

Belgian Pro League has averaged 3.03 goals a game over 72 matches this season, with over 2.5 goals in 61% of them and both sides scoring in 43%. Home sides have won 49% of matches, 18% have been drawn and away sides have won 33%. Those rates are the base the model's probabilities are judged against: a call only stands out where it beats what the competition normally produces.

Match by match

Kortrijk v KV MechelenFri 23 Oct, 19:45

Our model makes Kortrijk 24%, the draw 25% and KV Mechelen 50%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.76 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is KV Mechelen to win at 50%. Kortrijk are 18th on 3 points from 8; KV Mechelen are 14th on 6 points from 8. Kortrijk have won one of their last five; KV Mechelen have won one of their last five.

Antwerp v CharleroiSat 24 Oct, 15:00

Our model makes Antwerp 27%, the draw 26% and Charleroi 48%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.77 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is Charleroi to win at 48%. Antwerp are 13th on 7 points from 8; Charleroi are 3rd on 21 points from 8. Antwerp have lost all of their last five; Charleroi have won four of their last five. Charleroi have won three of the sides' last four meetings.

OH Leuven v Lommel UnitedSat 24 Oct, 17:15

Our model makes OH Leuven 25%, the draw 28% and Lommel United 46%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.38 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 48%. The headline call is under 2.5 goals at 58%. OH Leuven are 15th on 5 points from 8; Lommel United are 10th on 11 points from 8. OH Leuven have won one of their last five; Lommel United have won two of their last five.

KVC Westerlo v SK BeverenSat 24 Oct, 19:45

Our model makes KVC Westerlo 57%, the draw 22% and SK Beveren 22%. The likeliest score is 2-1 (10%), 3.36 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is both teams to score at 63%. KVC Westerlo are 6th on 13 points from 8; SK Beveren are 11th on 9 points from 8. KVC Westerlo are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); SK Beveren have won two of their last five.

RAAL La Louvière v Zulte WaregemSat 24 Oct, 19:45

Our model makes RAAL La Louvière 27%, the draw 25% and Zulte Waregem 48%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.87 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%. The headline call is Zulte Waregem to win at 48%. RAAL La Louvière are 16th on 4 points from 8; Zulte Waregem are 8th on 11 points from 8. RAAL La Louvière have won one of their last five; Zulte Waregem have won one of their last five. Two of the sides' last four meetings were drawn.

Genk v Standard LiegeSun 25 Oct, 12:30

Our model makes Genk 46%, the draw 26% and Standard Liege 28%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.79 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is both teams to score at 56%. Genk are 7th on 12 points from 8; Standard Liege are 9th on 11 points from 8. Genk have won two of their last five; Standard Liege have won two of their last five. Two of the sides' last four meetings were drawn.

Club Brugge KV v St. TruidenSun 25 Oct, 15:00

Our model makes Club Brugge KV 64%, the draw 19% and St. Truiden 18%. The likeliest score is 2-1 (9%), 3.84 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 67%. The headline call is both teams to score at 67%. Club Brugge KV are 2nd on 21 points from 8; St. Truiden are 12th on 8 points from 8. Club Brugge KV have won four of their last five; St. Truiden have won one of their last five. Club Brugge KV have won three of the sides' last four meetings.

Gent v AnderlechtSun 25 Oct, 17:30

Our model makes Gent 41%, the draw 29% and Anderlecht 30%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (14%), 2.30 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 47%. The headline call is under 2.5 goals at 60%. Gent are 1st on 22 points from 8; Anderlecht are 5th on 16 points from 8. Gent are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); Anderlecht are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw). Anderlecht have won two of the sides' last four meetings.

Union St. Gilloise v Cercle BruggeSun 25 Oct, 18:15

Our model makes Union St. Gilloise 72%, the draw 17% and Cercle Brugge 11%. The likeliest score is 2-0 (11%), 3.30 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 53%. The headline call is Union St. Gilloise to win at 72%. Union St. Gilloise are 4th on 20 points from 8; Cercle Brugge are 17th on 3 points from 8. Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); Cercle Brugge are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats). One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

How to read these

Every probability above comes from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals, and every market on a match page is derived from the same scoreline distribution, so the likely score, the totals and the match result cannot contradict each other. A 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten; nothing here is a certainty.

A pick is published only where the best available price stands clear of the model's probability and the market's consensus together; most fixtures get none. Each day's free picks appear on the homepage by 09:00 UK time; the rest are for members, and every pick is listed with its outcome once the day is over.