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Belgian Pro League predictions: matchweek 11 (6–8 November 2026)

Every Belgian Pro League match in matchweek 11 with the model's probabilities, the likeliest score, form, table positions and head-to-head behind each call.

Published 30 Oct 2026, updated 31 Oct 2026 · Written from the site’s own data

Belgian Pro League, matchweek 11: nine matches, played across 6–8 November 2026. Our model has published a forecast for every one.

The strongest favourite is Gent, 70% to beat Kortrijk at home; the most evenly balanced game is RAAL La Louvière v Cercle Brugge (RAAL La Louvière 39%, draw 24%, Cercle Brugge 37%); the fixture expected to produce most goals is Club Brugge KV v Anderlecht, at 3.70; the tightest looks Gent v Kortrijk, at 2.57.

Going into the round, Club Brugge KV lead on 27 points, two points clear of Gent, with Union St. Gilloise third on 23. The bottom three are OH Leuven (6), Cercle Brugge (3), Kortrijk (3).

The numbers this season

Belgian Pro League has averaged 3.20 goals a game over 82 matches this season, with over 2.5 goals in 65% of them and both sides scoring in 45%. Home sides have won 51% of matches, 18% have been drawn and away sides have won 30%. Those rates are the base the model's probabilities are judged against: a call only stands out where it beats what the competition normally produces.

Match by match

Standard Liege v SK BeverenFri 6 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes Standard Liege 53%, the draw 23% and SK Beveren 24%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.19 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 62%. The headline call is both teams to score at 62%. Standard Liege are 9th on 11 points from 9; SK Beveren are 12th on 10 points from 9. Standard Liege have won one of their last five; SK Beveren have won two of their last five.

KVC Westerlo v CharleroiSat 7 Nov, 15:00

Our model makes KVC Westerlo 40%, the draw 24% and Charleroi 35%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.20 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 64%. The headline call is both teams to score at 64%. KVC Westerlo are 7th on 14 points from 9; Charleroi are 4th on 21 points from 9. KVC Westerlo are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); Charleroi have won three of their last five. KVC Westerlo have won three of the sides' last four meetings.

OH Leuven v KV MechelenSat 7 Nov, 17:15

Our model makes OH Leuven 41%, the draw 27% and KV Mechelen 32%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.71 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is both teams to score at 55%. OH Leuven are 16th on 6 points from 9; KV Mechelen are 13th on 9 points from 9. OH Leuven have won one of their last five; KV Mechelen have won two of their last five. Two of the sides' last two meetings were drawn.

Antwerp v Lommel UnitedSat 7 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes Antwerp 32%, the draw 27% and Lommel United 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.74 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is both teams to score at 56%. Antwerp are 11th on 10 points from 9; Lommel United are 8th on 12 points from 9. Antwerp have won one of their last five; Lommel United have won one of their last five.

RAAL La Louvière v Cercle BruggeSat 7 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes RAAL La Louvière 39%, the draw 24% and Cercle Brugge 37%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.35 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 66%. The headline call is both teams to score at 66%. RAAL La Louvière are 15th on 7 points from 9; Cercle Brugge are 17th on 3 points from 9. RAAL La Louvière have won two of their last five; Cercle Brugge are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats). RAAL La Louvière have won three of the sides' last four meetings.

Club Brugge KV v AnderlechtSun 8 Nov, 12:30

Our model makes Club Brugge KV 66%, the draw 18% and Anderlecht 16%. The likeliest score is 2-1 (9%), 3.70 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 64%. The headline call is both teams to score at 64%. Club Brugge KV are 1st on 27 points from 10; Anderlecht are 5th on 16 points from 9. Club Brugge KV have won all of their last five; Anderlecht have won three of their last five. Club Brugge KV have won two of the sides' last four meetings.

Gent v KortrijkSun 8 Nov, 15:00

Our model makes Gent 70%, the draw 20% and Kortrijk 10%. The likeliest score is 2-0 (15%), 2.57 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 39%. The headline call is Gent to win at 70%. Gent are 2nd on 25 points from 9; Kortrijk are 18th on 3 points from 8. Gent are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); Kortrijk have won one of their last five.

Union St. Gilloise v GenkSun 8 Nov, 17:30

Our model makes Union St. Gilloise 64%, the draw 21% and Genk 15%. The likeliest score is 2-0 (11%), 2.97 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 52%. The headline call is Union St. Gilloise to win at 64%. Union St. Gilloise are 3rd on 23 points from 9; Genk are 6th on 15 points from 10. Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); Genk have won two of their last five. Union St. Gilloise have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

St. Truiden v Zulte WaregemSun 8 Nov, 18:15

Our model makes St. Truiden 53%, the draw 23% and Zulte Waregem 24%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.14 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is both teams to score at 61%. St. Truiden are 14th on 8 points from 9; Zulte Waregem are 10th on 11 points from 10. St. Truiden have won one of their last five; Zulte Waregem have lost all of their last five. St. Truiden have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

How to read these

Every probability above comes from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals, and every market on a match page is derived from the same scoreline distribution, so the likely score, the totals and the match result cannot contradict each other. A 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten; nothing here is a certainty.

A pick is published only where the best available price stands clear of the model's probability and the market's consensus together; most fixtures get none. Each day's free picks appear on the homepage by 09:00 UK time; the rest are for members, and every pick is listed with its outcome once the day is over.