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Belgian Pro League predictions: matchweek 10 (30 October – 1 November 2026)

Every Belgian Pro League match in matchweek 10 with the model's probabilities, the likeliest score, form, table positions and head-to-head behind each call.

Published 23 Oct 2026, updated 25 Oct 2026 · Written from the site’s own data

Belgian Pro League, matchweek 10: nine matches, played across 30 October – 1 November 2026. Our model has published a forecast for every one.

The strongest favourite is Union St. Gilloise, 71% to beat SK Beveren away; the most evenly balanced game is Lommel United v Gent (Lommel United 37%, draw 30%, Gent 33%); the fixture expected to produce most goals is Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV, at 3.46; the tightest looks Lommel United v Gent, at 2.24.

Going into the round, Gent lead on 22 points, one point clear of Club Brugge KV, with Charleroi third on 21. The bottom three are OH Leuven (6), Cercle Brugge (3), Kortrijk (3).

The numbers this season

Belgian Pro League has averaged 3.11 goals a game over 76 matches this season, with over 2.5 goals in 63% of them and both sides scoring in 43%. Home sides have won 49% of matches, 20% have been drawn and away sides have won 32%. Those rates are the base the model's probabilities are judged against: a call only stands out where it beats what the competition normally produces.

Match by match

Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KVFri 30 Oct, 19:45

Our model makes Zulte Waregem 19%, the draw 20% and Club Brugge KV 61%. The likeliest score is 1-2 (10%), 3.46 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is Club Brugge KV to win at 61%. Zulte Waregem are 10th on 11 points from 9; Club Brugge KV are 2nd on 21 points from 8. Zulte Waregem have won one of their last five; Club Brugge KV have won four of their last five. Club Brugge KV have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

KV Mechelen v GenkSat 31 Oct, 15:00

Our model makes KV Mechelen 28%, the draw 24% and Genk 48%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.10 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is both teams to score at 61%. KV Mechelen are 15th on 6 points from 8; Genk are 7th on 12 points from 8. KV Mechelen have won one of their last five; Genk have won two of their last five. The sides' last two meetings split 1–0–1 between KV Mechelen wins, draws and Genk wins.

Standard Liege v KortrijkSat 31 Oct, 17:15

Our model makes Standard Liege 63%, the draw 22% and Kortrijk 14%. The likeliest score is 1-0 (12%), 2.69 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 47%. The headline call is Standard Liege to win at 63%. Standard Liege are 9th on 11 points from 8; Kortrijk are 18th on 3 points from 8. Standard Liege have won two of their last five; Kortrijk have won one of their last five.

Anderlecht v KVC WesterloSat 31 Oct, 19:45

Our model makes Anderlecht 48%, the draw 24% and KVC Westerlo 28%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.17 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is both teams to score at 63%. Anderlecht are 5th on 16 points from 8; KVC Westerlo are 6th on 14 points from 9. Anderlecht are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); KVC Westerlo are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw). The sides' last two meetings split 1–0–1 between Anderlecht wins, draws and KVC Westerlo wins.

SK Beveren v Union St. GilloiseSat 31 Oct, 19:45

Our model makes SK Beveren 11%, the draw 18% and Union St. Gilloise 71%. The likeliest score is 0-2 (12%), 3.07 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 49%. The headline call is Union St. Gilloise to win at 71%. SK Beveren are 12th on 10 points from 9; Union St. Gilloise are 4th on 20 points from 8. SK Beveren have won two of their last five; Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw).

Cercle Brugge v AntwerpSun 1 Nov, 12:30

Our model makes Cercle Brugge 44%, the draw 24% and Antwerp 32%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.25 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 65%. The headline call is both teams to score at 65%. Cercle Brugge are 17th on 3 points from 8; Antwerp are 11th on 10 points from 9. Cercle Brugge are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats); Antwerp have won one of their last five. One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

St. Truiden v OH LeuvenSun 1 Nov, 15:00

Our model makes St. Truiden 56%, the draw 24% and OH Leuven 20%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 2.79 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 53%. The headline call is St. Truiden to win at 56%. St. Truiden are 13th on 8 points from 8; OH Leuven are 16th on 6 points from 9. St. Truiden have won one of their last five; OH Leuven have won one of their last five. St. Truiden have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

Lommel United v GentSun 1 Nov, 17:30

Our model makes Lommel United 37%, the draw 30% and Gent 33%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (14%), 2.24 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 46%. The headline call is under 2.5 goals at 61%. Lommel United are 8th on 12 points from 9; Gent are 1st on 22 points from 8. Lommel United have won one of their last five; Gent are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw).

Charleroi v RAAL La LouvièreSun 1 Nov, 18:15

Our model makes Charleroi 55%, the draw 24% and RAAL La Louvière 21%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 2.87 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is Charleroi to win at 55%. Charleroi are 3rd on 21 points from 9; RAAL La Louvière are 14th on 7 points from 9. Charleroi have won three of their last five; RAAL La Louvière have won two of their last five. One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

How to read these

Every probability above comes from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals, and every market on a match page is derived from the same scoreline distribution, so the likely score, the totals and the match result cannot contradict each other. A 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten; nothing here is a certainty.

A pick is published only where the best available price stands clear of the model's probability and the market's consensus together; most fixtures get none. Each day's free picks appear on the homepage by 09:00 UK time; the rest are for members, and every pick is listed with its outcome once the day is over.