Major League Soccer · Preview

Major League Soccer predictions: matchweek 34 (7–8 November 2026)

Every Major League Soccer match in matchweek 34 with the model's probabilities, the likeliest score, form, table positions and head-to-head behind each call.

Published 31 Oct 2026 · Written from the site’s own data

Major League Soccer, matchweek 34: 15 matches, played across 7–8 November 2026. Our model has published a forecast for every one.

The strongest favourite is San Diego, 65% to beat Sporting Kansas City at home; the most evenly balanced game is Austin v Portland Timbers (Austin 39%, draw 23%, Portland Timbers 38%); the fixture expected to produce most goals is San Diego v Sporting Kansas City, at 4.38; the tightest looks Seattle Sounders v Los Angeles FC, at 2.48.

Going into the round, Nashville SC lead on 71 points, 13 points clear of Vancouver Whitecaps, with New England Revolution third on 58. The bottom three are Atlanta United FC (30), CF Montreal (25), Sporting Kansas City (22).

The numbers this season

Major League Soccer has averaged 3.25 goals a game over 480 matches this season, with over 2.5 goals in 64% of them and both sides scoring in 64%. Home sides have won 45% of matches, 26% have been drawn and away sides have won 28%. Those rates are the base the model's probabilities are judged against: a call only stands out where it beats what the competition normally produces.

Match by match

CF Montreal v Vancouver WhitecapsSat 7 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes CF Montreal 16%, the draw 21% and Vancouver Whitecaps 63%. The likeliest score is 0-2 (10%), 3.11 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is Vancouver Whitecaps to win at 63%. CF Montreal are 29th on 25 points from 32; Vancouver Whitecaps are 2nd on 58 points from 32. CF Montreal are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats); Vancouver Whitecaps have won two of their last five.

Chicago Fire v Columbus CrewSat 7 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Chicago Fire 45%, the draw 24% and Columbus Crew 31%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.30 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 65%. The headline call is over 1.5 goals at 85%. Chicago Fire are 6th on 52 points from 32; Columbus Crew are 18th on 41 points from 32. Chicago Fire have won two of their last five; Columbus Crew have won four of their last five. One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

DC United v New York City FCSat 7 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes DC United 30%, the draw 27% and New York City FC 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.66 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%. The headline call is New York City FC to win at 43%. DC United are 27th on 33 points from 32; New York City FC are 23rd on 38 points from 32. DC United have won one of their last five; New York City FC have won one of their last five. DC United have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

FC Cincinnati v Nashville SCSat 7 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes FC Cincinnati 22%, the draw 21% and Nashville SC 57%. The likeliest score is 1-2 (9%), 3.53 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 66%. The headline call is Nashville SC to win at 57%. FC Cincinnati are 15th on 43 points from 32; Nashville SC are 1st on 71 points from 32. FC Cincinnati have won two of their last five; Nashville SC are unbeaten in five (three wins, two draws). The sides' last two meetings split 1–0–1 between FC Cincinnati wins, draws and Nashville SC wins.

Inter Miami v CharlotteSat 7 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Inter Miami 53%, the draw 20% and Charlotte 27%. The likeliest score is 2-1 (8%), 4.07 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 74%. The headline call is over 3.5 goals at 58%. Inter Miami are 4th on 56 points from 32; Charlotte are 9th on 50 points from 32. Inter Miami have won three of their last five; Charlotte have won two of their last five. One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FCSat 7 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes New York Red Bulls 43%, the draw 26% and Atlanta United FC 30%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.82 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%. The headline call is both teams to score at 57%. New York Red Bulls are 22nd on 39 points from 32; Atlanta United FC are 28th on 30 points from 32. New York Red Bulls have won two of their last five; Atlanta United FC have won one of their last five.

Orlando City SC v New England RevolutionSat 7 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Orlando City SC 39%, the draw 21% and New England Revolution 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (8%), 4.01 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 75%. The headline call is over 3.5 goals at 57%. Orlando City SC are 16th on 43 points from 32; New England Revolution are 3rd on 58 points from 32. Orlando City SC are unbeaten in five (two wins, three draws); New England Revolution have won four of their last five. The sides' last two meetings split 1–0–1 between Orlando City SC wins, draws and New England Revolution wins.

Philadelphia Union v Toronto FCSat 7 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Philadelphia Union 59%, the draw 20% and Toronto FC 21%. The likeliest score is 2-1 (9%), 3.75 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 68%. The headline call is Philadelphia Union to win at 59%. Philadelphia Union are 12th on 47 points from 32; Toronto FC are 21st on 39 points from 32. Philadelphia Union have won two of their last five; Toronto FC have won three of their last five. Two of the sides' last two meetings were drawn.

Austin v Portland TimbersSun 8 Nov, 00:00

Our model makes Austin 39%, the draw 23% and Portland Timbers 38%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.53 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 69%. The headline call is over 3.5 goals at 47%. Austin are 26th on 34 points from 32; Portland Timbers are 20th on 40 points from 32. Austin have won one of their last five; Portland Timbers have won two of their last five.

FC Dallas v Colorado RapidsSun 8 Nov, 00:00

Our model makes FC Dallas 49%, the draw 25% and Colorado Rapids 26%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.93 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is FC Dallas to win at 49%. FC Dallas are 5th on 54 points from 32; Colorado Rapids are 13th on 43 points from 32. FC Dallas have won two of their last five; Colorado Rapids are unbeaten in five (one win, four draws). FC Dallas have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

Houston Dynamo v St. Louis CitySun 8 Nov, 00:00

Our model makes Houston Dynamo 38%, the draw 26% and St. Louis City 36%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.84 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%. Houston Dynamo are 8th on 51 points from 32; St. Louis City are 7th on 51 points from 32. Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in five (one win, four draws); St. Louis City have won one of their last five. The sides' last two meetings split 1–0–1 between Houston Dynamo wins, draws and St. Louis City wins.

Minnesota United FC v San Jose EarthquakesSun 8 Nov, 00:00

Our model makes Minnesota United FC 42%, the draw 23% and San Jose Earthquakes 35%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.47 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 68%. The headline call is over 3.5 goals at 46%. Minnesota United FC are 24th on 38 points from 32; San Jose Earthquakes are 10th on 49 points from 32. Minnesota United FC are unbeaten in five (two wins, three draws); San Jose Earthquakes are without a win in five (four draws, one defeat). Minnesota United FC have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles GalaxySun 8 Nov, 00:00

Our model makes Real Salt Lake 49%, the draw 23% and Los Angeles Galaxy 27%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.26 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%. The headline call is Real Salt Lake to win at 49%. Real Salt Lake are 17th on 42 points from 32; Los Angeles Galaxy are 19th on 41 points from 32. Real Salt Lake have won three of their last five; Los Angeles Galaxy have won two of their last five.

San Diego v Sporting Kansas CitySun 8 Nov, 00:00

Our model makes San Diego 65%, the draw 17% and Sporting Kansas City 18%. The likeliest score is 2-1 (8%), 4.38 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 74%. The headline call is over 3.5 goals at 64%. San Diego are 25th on 35 points from 32; Sporting Kansas City are 30th on 22 points from 32. San Diego are without a win in five (three draws, two defeats); Sporting Kansas City are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats). San Diego have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

Seattle Sounders v Los Angeles FCSun 8 Nov, 00:00

Our model makes Seattle Sounders 32%, the draw 28% and Los Angeles FC 39%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.48 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 51%. The headline call is Los Angeles FC to win at 39%. Seattle Sounders are 14th on 43 points from 32; Los Angeles FC are 11th on 47 points from 32. Seattle Sounders have won one of their last five; Los Angeles FC have won one of their last five.

How to read these

Every probability above comes from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals, and every market on a match page is derived from the same scoreline distribution, so the likely score, the totals and the match result cannot contradict each other. A 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten; nothing here is a certainty.

A pick is published only where the best available price stands clear of the model's probability and the market's consensus together; most fixtures get none. Each day's free picks appear on the homepage by 09:00 UK time; the rest are for members, and every pick is listed with its outcome once the day is over.