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Liga Profesional Argentina predictions: Clausura, round 16 (8 November 2026)

Every Liga Profesional Argentina match in Clausura, round 16 with the model's probabilities, the likeliest score, form, table positions and head-to-head behind each call.

Published 1 Nov 2026 · Written from the site’s own data

Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura, round 16: 15 matches, played on 8 November 2026. Our model has published a forecast for every one.

The strongest favourite is Rosario Central, 67% to beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at home; the most evenly balanced game is Barracas Central v Racing Club (Barracas Central 35%, draw 32%, Racing Club 32%); the fixture expected to produce most goals is Union Santa Fe v Velez Sarsfield, at 2.97; the tightest looks San Lorenzo v Platense, at 1.86.

Going into the round, Rosario Central lead on 63 points, one point clear of Argentinos JRS, with River Plate third on 59. The bottom three are Deportivo Riestra (23), Aldosivi (19), Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (14).

The numbers this season

Liga Profesional Argentina has averaged 2.16 goals a game over 472 matches this season, with over 2.5 goals in 38% of them and both sides scoring in 47%. Home sides have won 42% of matches, 30% have been drawn and away sides have won 28%. Those rates are the base the model's probabilities are judged against: a call only stands out where it beats what the competition normally produces.

Match by match

Aldosivi v River PlateSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Aldosivi 20%, the draw 27% and River Plate 53%. The likeliest score is 0-1 (14%), 2.32 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 44%. The headline call is River Plate to win at 53%. Aldosivi are 29th on 19 points from 31; River Plate are 3rd on 59 points from 34. Aldosivi have won one of their last five; River Plate have won three of their last five.

Argentinos JRS v HuracanSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Argentinos JRS 46%, the draw 32% and Huracan 22%. The likeliest score is 1-0 (17%), 1.87 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 35%. The headline call is both teams to score: no at 65%. Argentinos JRS are 2nd on 62 points from 33; Huracan are 15th on 43 points from 33. Argentinos JRS have won three of their last five; Huracan have won one of their last five. One of the sides' last three meetings was drawn.

Banfield v Atletico TucumanSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Banfield 38%, the draw 29% and Atletico Tucuman 33%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (14%), 2.33 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 48%. The headline call is under 2.5 goals at 59%. Banfield are 24th on 32 points from 30; Atletico Tucuman are 25th on 31 points from 30. Banfield have won one of their last five; Atletico Tucuman have won one of their last five.

Barracas Central v Racing ClubSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Barracas Central 35%, the draw 32% and Racing Club 32%. The likeliest score is 0-0 (15%), 1.97 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 40%. The headline call is both teams to score: no at 60%. Barracas Central are 13th on 43 points from 30; Racing Club are 18th on 40 points from 33. Barracas Central have won three of their last five; Racing Club have won two of their last five. One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

Boca Juniors v Defensa Y JusticiaSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Boca Juniors 53%, the draw 26% and Defensa Y Justicia 21%. The likeliest score is 1-0 (13%), 2.49 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 48%. The headline call is Boca Juniors to win at 53%. Boca Juniors are 4th on 58 points from 31; Defensa Y Justicia are 12th on 46 points from 30. Boca Juniors are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); Defensa Y Justicia have won three of their last five. The sides' last two meetings split 1–0–1 between Boca Juniors wins, draws and Defensa Y Justicia wins.

Central Cordoba de Santiago v LanusSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Central Cordoba de Santiago 23%, the draw 30% and Lanus 47%. The likeliest score is 0-1 (15%), 2.14 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 42%. The headline call is Lanus to win at 47%. Central Cordoba de Santiago are 27th on 26 points from 30; Lanus are 10th on 48 points from 31. Central Cordoba de Santiago are without a win in five (three draws, two defeats); Lanus are unbeaten in five (three wins, two draws). One of the sides' last three meetings was drawn.

Gimnasia L.P. v Belgrano CordobaSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Gimnasia L.P. 38%, the draw 30% and Belgrano Cordoba 32%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (14%), 2.20 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 45%. The headline call is both teams to score: no at 55%. Gimnasia L.P. are 6th on 57 points from 33; Belgrano Cordoba are 5th on 58 points from 34. Gimnasia L.P. are unbeaten in five (three wins, two draws); Belgrano Cordoba have won three of their last five.

Gimnasia M. v Independ. RivadaviaSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Gimnasia M. 33%, the draw 27% and Independ. Rivadavia 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.69 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is both teams to score at 55%. Gimnasia M. are 20th on 39 points from 30; Independ. Rivadavia are 9th on 53 points from 31. Gimnasia M. have won one of their last five; Independ. Rivadavia have won one of their last five.

Independiente v Deportivo RiestraSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Independiente 49%, the draw 31% and Deportivo Riestra 20%. The likeliest score is 1-0 (17%), 1.92 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 36%. The headline call is both teams to score: no at 64%. Independiente are 14th on 43 points from 31; Deportivo Riestra are 28th on 23 points from 31. Independiente have won one of their last five; Deportivo Riestra are without a win in five (two draws, three defeats). The sides' last two meetings split 1–0–1 between Independiente wins, draws and Deportivo Riestra wins.

Instituto Cordoba v Newells Old BoysSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Instituto Cordoba 50%, the draw 28% and Newells Old Boys 22%. The likeliest score is 1-0 (14%), 2.32 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 45%. The headline call is Instituto Cordoba to win at 50%. Instituto Cordoba are 8th on 54 points from 31; Newells Old Boys are 23rd on 36 points from 30. Instituto Cordoba are unbeaten in five (three wins, two draws); Newells Old Boys have won two of their last five.

Rosario Central v Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Rosario Central 67%, the draw 23% and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 11%. The likeliest score is 1-0 (16%), 2.36 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 37%. The headline call is Rosario Central to win at 67%. Rosario Central are 1st on 63 points from 34; Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are 30th on 14 points from 31. Rosario Central are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won one of their last five.

San Lorenzo v PlatenseSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes San Lorenzo 39%, the draw 33% and Platense 28%. The likeliest score is 0-0 (16%), 1.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 37%. The headline call is both teams to score: no at 63%. San Lorenzo are 16th on 42 points from 32; Platense are 26th on 30 points from 30. San Lorenzo have won two of their last five; Platense have won one of their last five. The sides' last two meetings split 1–0–1 between San Lorenzo wins, draws and Platense wins.

Talleres Cordoba v Estudiantes L.P.Sun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Talleres Cordoba 29%, the draw 31% and Estudiantes L.P. 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (14%), 2.07 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 42%. The headline call is both teams to score: no at 58%. Talleres Cordoba are 21st on 38 points from 32; Estudiantes L.P. are 11th on 46 points from 32. Talleres Cordoba have won one of their last five; Estudiantes L.P. have won one of their last five.

Tigre v Sarmiento JuninSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Tigre 43%, the draw 29% and Sarmiento Junin 29%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (14%), 2.39 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%. The headline call is under 2.5 goals at 57%. Tigre are 22nd on 36 points from 31; Sarmiento Junin are 19th on 40 points from 31. Tigre have won one of their last five; Sarmiento Junin have won one of their last five.

Union Santa Fe v Velez SarsfieldSun 8 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Union Santa Fe 29%, the draw 25% and Velez Sarsfield 45%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.97 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is over 2.5 goals at 57%. Union Santa Fe are 17th on 41 points from 32; Velez Sarsfield are 7th on 56 points from 32. Union Santa Fe have won one of their last five; Velez Sarsfield have won two of their last five.

How to read these

Every probability above comes from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals, and every market on a match page is derived from the same scoreline distribution, so the likely score, the totals and the match result cannot contradict each other. A 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten; nothing here is a certainty.

A pick is published only where the best available price stands clear of the model's probability and the market's consensus together; most fixtures get none. Each day's free picks appear on the homepage by 09:00 UK time; the rest are for members, and every pick is listed with its outcome once the day is over.