Predicted Edge

Argentinos JRS v Huracan

Argentinos JRS won 3 of the last 52nd0–2Huracan won 1 of the last 515th

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Argentinos JRS Huracan
17Shots20
3Shots on target9
7Corners4
16Fouls18
1Yellow cards5
1Red cards0
0Offsides2
426Passes370
53%Possession %47%
0.80xG1.78
Over 1.5
56%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
12%
Both score
35%
Model pick
Argentinos JRS 46%
Likely score
1-0 17%
Expected goals
1.17 – 0.70

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No64.5%1.551.65 Betfair60.6%+3.9
Match resultArgentinos JRS46.3%2.162.15 Bet36546.5%-0.2
Match resultDraw32.1%3.113.25 Dafabet30.8%+1.4
Match resultHuracan21.6%4.634.50 Bet36522.2%-0.6
Total goalsOver 1.556.5%1.771.57 Betano63.7%-7.2
Total goalsUnder 1.543.5%2.302.55 Betfair39.2%+4.3
Total goalsOver 2.528.9%3.462.70 Bet36537.0%-8.1
Total goalsUnder 2.571.1%1.411.50 Bet36566.7%+4.4
Total goalsOver 3.512.1%8.286.00 Betfair16.7%-4.6
Total goalsUnder 3.587.9%1.141.18 Betano84.7%+3.2
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes35.5%2.822.25 BetVictor44.4%-9.0

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Argentinos JRS favoured against Huracan

Our model makes Argentinos JRS 46% to win this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture, with the draw at 32% and Huracan at 22%. The goal projection is 1.17 for Argentinos JRS against 0.70 for Huracan — a clear edge to Argentinos JRS on expected output. A combined 1.87 goals points to a low-scoring, tight affair, which puts over 2.5 at 29% and both teams to score at 35%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 17%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-0 17%
0-0 16%
1-1 13%
2-0 10%
0-1 10%

This season

Season records for Argentinos JRS and Huracan
Argentinos JRS Huracan
35Played34
18-11-6W-D-L11-13-10
1.86Pts / game1.35
1.14Goals for / game0.94
0.80Goals against / game0.88
31%Over 2.529%
46%BTTS44%
43%Clean sheets41%
26%Failed to score35%
12-6-1Home record7-4-5
6-5-5Away record4-9-5
L1StreakW1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Argentinos JRS · Huracan

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
12.4Shots15.2
3.7Shots on target4.3
6.0Corners6.8
3.29Cards3.67
11.1Fouls14.3
54Possession %53
0.99xG1.11
7 matchessample6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
14.0Shots13.5
4.1Shots on target4.3
4.7Corners4.7
2.86Cards2.00
13.7Fouls12.2
46Possession %48
1.21xG1.28
7 matchessample6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Argentinos JRSMetricHuracan
1.00 (better)Goals scored0.40
0.60 (better)Goals conceded1.60
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.05 (better)
Big chances
4.20 (better)Shots on target3.60
12.00Total shots14.20 (better)
Touches in opp. box
6.40Corners7.40 (better)
55.0 (better)Possession %53.6
442 (better)Passes399
Tackles
10.00 (better)Fouls13.60
1.60 (better)Offsides2.60
Throw-ins
3.00 (better)Yellow cards3.20
0.00 (better)Red cards0.33

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Argentinos JRS wins
1
Draws
1
Huracan wins
2
Goals / game
1.50
Over 2.5
25%
Both score
25%
Liga Profesional Argentina table
League table
#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1Rosario Central351997+1966Rosario Central won 5 of the last 5
2Argentinos JRS3518116+1265Argentinos JRS won 3 of the last 5
3Boca Juniors3317133+2364Boca Juniors won 4 of the last 5
4River Plate3619512+1962River Plate won 3 of the last 5
5Gimnasia L.P.3418610+460Gimnasia L.P. won 4 of the last 5
6Belgrano Cordoba3616119+1059Belgrano Cordoba won 1 of the last 5
7Independ. Rivadavia331698+1057Independ. Rivadavia won 1 of the last 5
8Velez Sarsfield3314145+1356Velez Sarsfield won 2 of the last 5
9Instituto Cordoba321679+1155Instituto Cordoba won 2 of the last 5
10Lanus3313119+850Lanus won 2 of the last 5
11Estudiantes L.P.3313812+1047Estudiantes L.P. won 0 of the last 5
12Barracas Central3212119+447Barracas Central won 3 of the last 5
13Defensa Y Justicia3212119+347Defensa Y Justicia won 2 of the last 5
14Independiente33121110+147Independiente won 1 of the last 5
15Huracan34111310+246Huracan won 1 of the last 5
16Union Santa Fe3412913+345Union Santa Fe won 2 of the last 5
17San Lorenzo33101211-742San Lorenzo won 2 of the last 5
18Gimnasia M.3211813-741Gimnasia M. won 1 of the last 5
19Racing Club34101014-540Racing Club won 1 of the last 5
20Sarmiento Junin3212416-840Sarmiento Junin won 0 of the last 5
21Tigre3291211+339Tigre won 2 of the last 5
22Talleres Cordoba3310914-339Talleres Cordoba won 1 of the last 5
23Newells Old Boys3281410-938Newells Old Boys won 1 of the last 5
24Platense3281212-736Platense won 3 of the last 5
25Banfield328915-933Banfield won 1 of the last 5
26Atletico Tucuman3271114-632Atletico Tucuman won 1 of the last 5
27Central Cordoba de Santiago326917-2427Central Cordoba de Santiago won 0 of the last 5
28Deportivo Riestra3231415-1523Deportivo Riestra won 0 of the last 5
29Aldosivi3231019-2319Aldosivi won 1 of the last 5
30Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto323524-3214Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 1 of the last 5