UEFA Nations League · Preview

UEFA Nations League predictions: League B, round 6 (16–17 November 2026)

Every UEFA Nations League match in League B, round 6 with the model's probabilities, the likeliest score, form, table positions and head-to-head behind each call.

Published 9 Nov 2026, updated 10 Nov 2026 · Written from the site’s own data

UEFA Nations League, League B, round 6: eight matches, played across 16–17 November 2026. Our model has published a forecast for every one.

The strongest favourite is Austria, 56% to beat Israel away; the most evenly balanced game is Ukraine v Georgia (Ukraine 34%, draw 33%, Georgia 33%); the fixture expected to produce most goals is Israel v Austria, at 2.86; the tightest looks Hungary v Northern Ireland, at 1.74.

Match by match

FYR Macedonia v SloveniaMon 16 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes FYR Macedonia 17%, the draw 29% and Slovenia 54%. The likeliest score is 0-1 (17%), 2.05 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 37%. The headline call is Slovenia to win at 54%. FYR Macedonia have lost all of their last four; Slovenia have won two of their last four.

Switzerland v ScotlandMon 16 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes Switzerland 55%, the draw 26% and Scotland 19%. The likeliest score is 1-0 (14%), 2.42 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 45%. The headline call is Switzerland to win at 55%. Switzerland have won all of their last four; Scotland have won one of their last four.

Bosnia & Herzegovina v RomaniaTue 17 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes Bosnia & Herzegovina 52%, the draw 26% and Romania 21%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.50 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 48%. The headline call is Bosnia & Herzegovina to win at 52%. Bosnia & Herzegovina are unbeaten in four (two wins, two draws); Romania have lost all of their last four. Bosnia & Herzegovina have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

Hungary v Northern IrelandTue 17 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes Hungary 32%, the draw 35% and Northern Ireland 33%. The likeliest score is 0-0 (18%), 1.74 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 25%, both teams to score 34%. The headline call is under 2.5 goals at 75%. Hungary have won two of their last four; Northern Ireland are unbeaten in four (two wins, two draws).

Israel v AustriaTue 17 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes Israel 21%, the draw 24% and Austria 56%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is Austria to win at 56%. Israel are without a win in four (two draws, two defeats); Austria are unbeaten in four (two wins, two draws).

Poland v SwedenTue 17 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes Poland 39%, the draw 26% and Sweden 35%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%. Poland have won one of their last four; Sweden are unbeaten in four (three wins, one draw). Sweden have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

Rep. Of Ireland v KosovoTue 17 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes Rep. Of Ireland 38%, the draw 31% and Kosovo 31%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (14%), 2.07 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 42%. The headline call is under 2.5 goals at 66%. Rep. Of Ireland have won one of their last four; Kosovo have won one of their last four.

Ukraine v GeorgiaTue 17 Nov, 19:45

Our model makes Ukraine 34%, the draw 33% and Georgia 33%. The likeliest score is 0-0 (16%), 1.91 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 38%. The headline call is under 2.5 goals at 70%. Ukraine have won one of their last four; Georgia are without a win in four (two draws, two defeats).

How to read these

Every probability above comes from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals, and every market on a match page is derived from the same scoreline distribution, so the likely score, the totals and the match result cannot contradict each other. A 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten; nothing here is a certainty.

A pick is published only where the best available price stands clear of the model's probability and the market's consensus together; most fixtures get none. Each day's free picks appear on the homepage by 09:00 UK time; the rest are for members, and every pick is listed with its outcome once the day is over.