Predicted Edge

International

Friendlies predictions

Every Friendlies match in the next 14 days with the model's probabilities, the likeliest score and one headline call, published at least 24 hours before kick-off. The table, team statistics and results are on the Friendlies page.

74 matches in the next 14 days, every one with a forecast published. The strongest favourite is Argentina, 83% against Costa Rica at home; the most evenly balanced game is Switzerland U17 v Czechia U17 (Switzerland U17 39%, draw 21%, Czechia U17 39%); the fixture expected to produce most goals is Argentina v Costa Rica, at 4.10.

Every match, one prediction

Today

Friendlies6Most likely prediction

Tomorrow

Friendlies17Most likely prediction

Sat 14 Nov

Friendlies14Most likely prediction

Sun 15 Nov

Friendlies4Most likely prediction

Mon 16 Nov

Friendlies8Most likely prediction

Tue 17 Nov

Friendlies24Most likely prediction

Thu 19 Nov

Friendlies1Most likely prediction

Match by match

Singapore U23 v Vietnam U23Thu 12 Nov, 12:00

Our model makes Singapore U23 36%, the draw 26% and Vietnam U23 38%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.91 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%. Vietnam U23 have won one of their last four.

Scotland U21 v Ukraine U21Thu 12 Nov, 13:00

Our model makes Scotland U21 50%, the draw 23% and Ukraine U21 27%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.30 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%. The headline call is both teams to score at 64%. Ukraine U21 are without a win in three (one draw, two defeats).

Uzbekistan v RussiaThu 12 Nov, 15:00

Our model makes Uzbekistan 20%, the draw 20% and Russia 59%. The likeliest score is 1-2 (9%), 3.56 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 65%. The headline call is Russia to win at 59%. Uzbekistan have won two of their last five; Russia are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw).

France U20 v Denmark U20Thu 12 Nov, 16:00

Our model makes France U20 48%, the draw 22% and Denmark U20 30%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (9%), 3.70 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 71%. The headline call is both teams to score at 71%.

Lithuania v SurinameThu 12 Nov, 17:00

Our model makes Lithuania 38%, the draw 27% and Suriname 35%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.70 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is both teams to score at 55%. Lithuania have won one of their last three; Suriname are without a win in three (one draw, two defeats).

Malta v EswatiniThu 12 Nov, 17:30

Our model makes Malta 44%, the draw 25% and Eswatini 31%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.06 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is both teams to score at 61%. Malta are unbeaten in three (two wins, one draw); Eswatini are without a win in five (two draws, three defeats).

Czechia U18 v Poland U18Fri 13 Nov, 11:00

Our model makes Czechia U18 46%, the draw 26% and Poland U18 28%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.76 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is both teams to score at 56%.

Singapore v ParaguayFri 13 Nov, 12:00

Our model makes Singapore 30%, the draw 27% and Paraguay 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.64 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 54%. The headline call is Paraguay to win at 42%. Singapore are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats); Paraguay have won four of their last five.

Chinese Taipei v KyrgyzstanFri 13 Nov, 12:00

Our model makes Chinese Taipei 30%, the draw 24% and Kyrgyzstan 46%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.15 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is Kyrgyzstan to win at 46%. Chinese Taipei have lost all of their last five; Kyrgyzstan have won two of their last five. Kyrgyzstan have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

Kuwait v SyriaFri 13 Nov, 14:00

Our model makes Kuwait 49%, the draw 22% and Syria 29%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (9%), 3.59 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 69%. The headline call is both teams to score at 69%. Kuwait are without a win in five (two draws, three defeats); Syria are without a win in three (one draw, two defeats).

United Arab Emirates v HondurasFri 13 Nov, 14:10

Our model makes United Arab Emirates 41%, the draw 27% and Honduras 32%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.69 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is both teams to score at 55%. United Arab Emirates have won one of their last four; Honduras have won two of their last five.

Saudi Arabia v South KoreaFri 13 Nov, 14:30

Our model makes Saudi Arabia 31%, the draw 27% and South Korea 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.67 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is South Korea to win at 42%. Saudi Arabia are without a win in three (two draws, one defeat); South Korea have won three of their last five.

Qatar v AustraliaFri 13 Nov, 14:45

Our model makes Qatar 26%, the draw 26% and Australia 48%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.74 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is Australia to win at 48%. Qatar are without a win in three (one draw, two defeats); Australia are without a win in four (two draws, two defeats).

Poland U21 v Norway U21Fri 13 Nov, 16:30

Our model makes Poland U21 45%, the draw 25% and Norway U21 30%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 3.01 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is both teams to score at 60%.

Germany U21 v Belgium U21Fri 13 Nov, 17:00

Our model makes Germany U21 44%, the draw 25% and Belgium U21 32%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.12 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is both teams to score at 63%.

France U21 v Italy U21Fri 13 Nov, 17:30

Our model makes France U21 36%, the draw 27% and Italy U21 37%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.68 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is both teams to score at 55%. France U21 have won one of their last three.

Jordan v IndonesiaFri 13 Nov, 18:00

Our model makes Jordan 30%, the draw 26% and Indonesia 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.81 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%. The headline call is both teams to score at 57%. Jordan are without a win in five (three draws, two defeats); Indonesia have won one of their last four.

Albania U21 v Luxembourg U21Fri 13 Nov, 18:00

Our model makes Albania U21 40%, the draw 27% and Luxembourg U21 33%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.72 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is both teams to score at 56%. Albania U21 have won one of their last four.

Spain U21 v Japan U21Fri 13 Nov, 18:00

Our model makes Spain U21 40%, the draw 25% and Japan U21 34%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 3.00 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is both teams to score at 61%. Japan U21 have won two of their last four.

Chile U20 v Mexico U20Fri 13 Nov, 19:00

Our model makes Chile U20 52%, the draw 25% and Mexico U20 23%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.83 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is both teams to score at 55%. Chile U20 have won one of their last three; Mexico U20 have won two of their last five.

England U21 v Portugal U21Fri 13 Nov, 19:30

Our model makes England U21 34%, the draw 25% and Portugal U21 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.16 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is both teams to score at 63%.

Argentina v UruguayFri 13 Nov, 23:00

Our model makes Argentina 66%, the draw 19% and Uruguay 15%. The likeliest score is 2-1 (10%), 3.36 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is Argentina to win at 66%. Argentina have won all of their last five; Uruguay have won two of their last five.

Brazil U20 v Peru U20Fri 13 Nov, 23:00

Our model makes Brazil U20 68%, the draw 19% and Peru U20 14%. The likeliest score is 2-0 (10%), 3.29 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is Brazil U20 to win at 68%. Brazil U20 have won all of their last five; Peru U20 are without a win in four (two draws, two defeats).

Ecuador v Costa RicaSat 14 Nov, 00:00

Our model makes Ecuador 49%, the draw 25% and Costa Rica 26%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.83 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is both teams to score at 56%. Ecuador have won one of their last four; Costa Rica have won one of their last three.

Colombia v ChileSat 14 Nov, 00:00

Our model makes Colombia 47%, the draw 27% and Chile 26%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.58 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%. The headline call is Colombia to win at 47%. Colombia have won three of their last five; Chile have won two of their last five.

Peru v BoliviaSat 14 Nov, 01:00

Our model makes Peru 50%, the draw 25% and Bolivia 24%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.78 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is Peru to win at 50%. Peru are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats); Bolivia have won one of their last five.

Bahrain v YemenSat 14 Nov, 06:00

Our model makes Bahrain 27%, the draw 25% and Yemen 47%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.91 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is Yemen to win at 47%. Bahrain have won two of their last four; Yemen have won one of their last five. One of the sides' last two meetings was drawn.

Korea Republic U21 v Mexico U23Sat 14 Nov, 07:00

Our model makes Korea Republic U21 40%, the draw 25% and Mexico U23 34%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 3.02 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is both teams to score at 61%.

Thailand U23 v Singapore U23Sat 14 Nov, 08:00

Our model makes Thailand U23 46%, the draw 22% and Singapore U23 32%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (9%), 3.64 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 70%. The headline call is both teams to score at 70%. Thailand U23 have won one of their last five.

Turkey U18 v Germany U18Sat 14 Nov, 09:00

Our model makes Turkey U18 31%, the draw 26% and Germany U18 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.82 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%. The headline call is both teams to score at 57%. Turkey U18 have won one of their last five.

Japan v BrazilSat 14 Nov, 10:15

Our model makes Japan 32%, the draw 23% and Brazil 45%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (9%), 3.59 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 70%. The headline call is both teams to score at 70%. Japan have won all of their last five; Brazil are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw). The sides' last two meetings split 1–0–1 between Japan wins, draws and Brazil wins.

Netherlands U18 v Switzerland U18Sat 14 Nov, 11:00

Our model makes Netherlands U18 50%, the draw 23% and Switzerland U18 27%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.36 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%. The headline call is both teams to score at 65%. Netherlands U18 have won two of their last four.

England U18 v Norway U19Sat 14 Nov, 11:00

Our model makes England U18 45%, the draw 22% and Norway U19 34%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (8%), 3.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 73%. The headline call is both teams to score at 73%. England U18 have won four of their last five; Norway U19 have won two of their last five.

Vietnam U23 v Qatar U23Sat 14 Nov, 12:00

Our model makes Vietnam U23 37%, the draw 28% and Qatar U23 35%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.54 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%. The headline call is Vietnam U23 to win at 37%. Vietnam U23 have won one of their last four; Qatar U23 have won one of their last five. Qatar U23 have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

China v MalaysiaSat 14 Nov, 12:00

Our model makes China 26%, the draw 26% and Malaysia 48%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.81 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is Malaysia to win at 48%. China have won one of their last five; Malaysia are without a win in three (one draw, two defeats).

Palestine v IranSat 14 Nov, 15:00

Our model makes Palestine 42%, the draw 25% and Iran 33%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 3.01 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is both teams to score at 61%. Palestine are unbeaten in five (two wins, three draws); Iran have won three of their last five.

Basque Country v VenezuelaSat 14 Nov, 19:00

Our model makes Basque Country 44%, the draw 27% and Venezuela 29%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.59 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 53%. The headline call is Basque Country to win at 44%. Venezuela have won one of their last five.

New Zealand v IndiaSun 15 Nov, 03:00

Our model makes New Zealand 54%, the draw 22% and India 24%. The likeliest score is 2-1 (9%), 3.48 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 66%. The headline call is both teams to score at 66%. New Zealand have won two of their last five; India are without a win in five (two draws, three defeats).

Kyrgyzstan v VietnamSun 15 Nov, 12:00

Our model makes Kyrgyzstan 27%, the draw 23% and Vietnam 49%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.25 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%. The headline call is Vietnam to win at 49%. Kyrgyzstan have won two of their last five; Vietnam have lost all of their last three.

Scotland U21 v USA U21Sun 15 Nov, 13:00

Our model makes Scotland U21 34%, the draw 26% and USA U21 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.95 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is both teams to score at 60%. USA U21 have won three of their last four.

France U20 v Denmark U20Sun 15 Nov, 13:00

Our model makes France U20 48%, the draw 22% and Denmark U20 30%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (9%), 3.70 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 71%. The headline call is both teams to score at 71%.

Poland U18 v Czechia U18Mon 16 Nov, 11:00

Our model makes Poland U18 33%, the draw 27% and Czechia U18 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.74 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is both teams to score at 56%.

Switzerland U18 v England U18Mon 16 Nov, 15:00

Our model makes Switzerland U18 30%, the draw 23% and England U18 47%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.46 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%. The headline call is both teams to score at 67%. England U18 have won four of their last five.

Kosovo U21 v Luxembourg U21Mon 16 Nov, 15:00

Our model makes Kosovo U21 37%, the draw 28% and Luxembourg U21 35%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.53 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 52%. The headline call is Kosovo U21 to win at 37%.

Italy U21 v Belgium U21Mon 16 Nov, 17:15

Our model makes Italy U21 43%, the draw 25% and Belgium U21 31%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.97 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is both teams to score at 60%.

Andorra v AzerbaijanMon 16 Nov, 18:00

Our model makes Andorra 27%, the draw 32% and Azerbaijan 42%. The likeliest score is 0-1 (15%), 2.02 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 40%. The headline call is under 2.5 goals at 67%. Andorra are without a win in three (one draw, two defeats); Azerbaijan are unbeaten in three (one win, two draws).

Chile U20 v Mexico U20Mon 16 Nov, 19:00

Our model makes Chile U20 52%, the draw 25% and Mexico U20 24%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.83 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is both teams to score at 55%. Chile U20 have won one of their last three; Mexico U20 have won two of their last five.

England U21 v France U21Mon 16 Nov, 19:30

Our model makes England U21 41%, the draw 26% and France U21 33%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.80 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%. The headline call is both teams to score at 57%. France U21 have won one of their last three.

Brazil U20 v Peru U20Mon 16 Nov, 23:00

Our model makes Brazil U20 68%, the draw 19% and Peru U20 14%. The likeliest score is 2-0 (10%), 3.29 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is Brazil U20 to win at 68%. Brazil U20 have won all of their last five; Peru U20 are without a win in four (two draws, two defeats).

Yemen v MalaysiaTue 17 Nov, 06:00

Our model makes Yemen 43%, the draw 25% and Malaysia 32%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 3.04 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is both teams to score at 61%. Yemen have won one of their last five; Malaysia are without a win in three (one draw, two defeats).

Turkey U18 v Germany U18Tue 17 Nov, 09:00

Our model makes Turkey U18 31%, the draw 26% and Germany U18 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.82 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%. The headline call is both teams to score at 57%. Turkey U18 have won one of their last five.

Korea Republic U21 v Mexico U23Tue 17 Nov, 10:00

Our model makes Korea Republic U21 40%, the draw 25% and Mexico U23 34%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 3.02 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is both teams to score at 61%.

Singapore v BrazilTue 17 Nov, 10:00

Our model makes Singapore 21%, the draw 20% and Brazil 59%. The likeliest score is 1-2 (9%), 3.60 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 66%. The headline call is Brazil to win at 59%. Singapore are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats); Brazil are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw).

Norway U19 v Netherlands U18Tue 17 Nov, 11:00

Our model makes Norway U19 43%, the draw 22% and Netherlands U18 35%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (9%), 3.71 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 71%. The headline call is both teams to score at 71%. Norway U19 have won two of their last five; Netherlands U18 have won two of their last four.

China v BahrainTue 17 Nov, 12:00

Our model makes China 36%, the draw 27% and Bahrain 36%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.63 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 54%. The headline call is Bahrain to win at 36%. China have won one of their last five; Bahrain have won two of their last four. China have won two of the sides' last two meetings.

Ukraine U21 v USA U21Tue 17 Nov, 13:00

Our model makes Ukraine U21 26%, the draw 23% and USA U21 50%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.23 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is USA U21 to win at 50%. Ukraine U21 are without a win in three (one draw, two defeats); USA U21 have won three of their last four.

Kuwait v HondurasTue 17 Nov, 13:00

Our model makes Kuwait 35%, the draw 26% and Honduras 39%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.87 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%. Kuwait are without a win in five (two draws, three defeats); Honduras have won two of their last five.

Japan v ParaguayTue 17 Nov, 13:10

Our model makes Japan 43%, the draw 27% and Paraguay 31%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.73 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is both teams to score at 56%. Japan have won all of their last five; Paraguay have won four of their last five.

Qatar v South KoreaTue 17 Nov, 14:00

Our model makes Qatar 24%, the draw 23% and South Korea 52%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.14 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is South Korea to win at 52%. Qatar are without a win in three (one draw, two defeats); South Korea have won three of their last five.

Saudi Arabia v UzbekistanTue 17 Nov, 15:30

Our model makes Saudi Arabia 38%, the draw 26% and Uzbekistan 36%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.91 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%. Saudi Arabia are without a win in three (two draws, one defeat); Uzbekistan have won two of their last five.

Jordan v AustraliaTue 17 Nov, 16:00

Our model makes Jordan 30%, the draw 28% and Australia 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.53 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 52%. The headline call is Australia to win at 42%. Jordan are without a win in five (three draws, two defeats); Australia are without a win in four (two draws, two defeats).

Russia v VenezuelaTue 17 Nov, 16:00

Our model makes Russia 61%, the draw 23% and Venezuela 17%. The likeliest score is 1-0 (11%), 2.78 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 50%. The headline call is Russia to win at 61%. Russia are unbeaten in five (four wins, one draw); Venezuela have won one of their last five.

Iraq v IranTue 17 Nov, 16:15

Our model makes Iraq 24%, the draw 26% and Iran 50%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.72 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%. The headline call is Iran to win at 50%. Iraq have lost all of their last three; Iran have won three of their last five.

Croatia U21 v Germany U21Tue 17 Nov, 17:00

Our model makes Croatia U21 41%, the draw 25% and Germany U21 34%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.06 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 62%. The headline call is both teams to score at 62%. Croatia U21 are unbeaten in three (one win, two draws).

Egypt U21 v Japan U21Tue 17 Nov, 17:00

Our model makes Egypt U21 38%, the draw 26% and Japan U21 36%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%. Japan U21 have won two of their last four.

Poland U21 v Serbia U21Tue 17 Nov, 17:00

Our model makes Poland U21 30%, the draw 25% and Serbia U21 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 3.00 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is both teams to score at 60%. Serbia U21 have won four of their last five.

Switzerland U17 v Czechia U17Tue 17 Nov, 17:00

Our model makes Switzerland U17 39%, the draw 21% and Czechia U17 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (7%), 4.06 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 76%. The headline call is over 3.5 goals at 58%. Czechia U17 have won two of their last four.

Portugal U21 v Norway U21Tue 17 Nov, 17:30

Our model makes Portugal U21 53%, the draw 23% and Norway U21 24%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.20 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 62%. The headline call is both teams to score at 62%.

Albania U21 v Spain U21Tue 17 Nov, 18:00

Our model makes Albania U21 39%, the draw 25% and Spain U21 36%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 3.04 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 62%. The headline call is both teams to score at 62%. Albania U21 have won one of their last four.

Argentina v Costa RicaTue 17 Nov, 21:00

Our model makes Argentina 83%, the draw 11% and Costa Rica 6%. The likeliest score is 3-0 (10%), 4.10 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is Argentina to win at 83%. Argentina have won all of their last five; Costa Rica have won one of their last three.

Chile v ColombiaTue 17 Nov, 23:00

Our model makes Chile 31%, the draw 28% and Colombia 41%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.55 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%. The headline call is Colombia to win at 41%. Chile have won two of their last five; Colombia have won three of their last five.

Ecuador v BoliviaTue 17 Nov, 23:30

Our model makes Ecuador 58%, the draw 25% and Bolivia 17%. The likeliest score is 1-0 (13%), 2.52 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 46%. The headline call is Ecuador to win at 58%. Ecuador have won one of their last four; Bolivia have won one of their last five.

Uruguay v Dominican RepublicTue 17 Nov, 23:30

Our model makes Uruguay 61%, the draw 20% and Dominican Republic 19%. The likeliest score is 2-1 (9%), 3.64 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 66%. The headline call is over 3.5 goals at 49%. Uruguay have won two of their last five; Dominican Republic are without a win in three (one draw, two defeats).

Switzerland U17 v Czechia U17Thu 19 Nov, 10:00

Our model makes Switzerland U17 39%, the draw 21% and Czechia U17 39%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (7%), 4.06 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 76%. The headline call is over 3.5 goals at 58%. Czechia U17 have won two of their last four.

About these predictions

How are Friendlies predictions made?
A Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model rates every side's attack and defence from recent results and expected goals, with home advantage estimated from this season's matches, and turns the two sides' ratings into a probability for every scoreline. Match result, total goals and both teams to score are all summed from that one distribution, so they cannot contradict each other.
When are Friendlies predictions published?
At least 24 hours before kick-off and up to eight days ahead, as soon as both sides' recent form is on record. Nothing is edited or removed after kick-off; the dated pages keep every forecast as it was published.

The method in full is under how it works; the model is explained on its own page. A high probability is not a certainty: a 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten.