Union Berlin 2–2 FSV Mainz 05

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Union Berlin and FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin		FSV Mainz 05
9	Played	9
1-4-4	W-D-L	3-1-5
0.78	Pts / game	1.11
0.78	Goals for / game	2.00
2.33	Goals against / game	2.11
44%	Over 2.5	78%
44%	BTTS	67%
22%	Clean sheets	33%
44%	Failed to score	11%
1-3-1	Home record	0-1-4
0-1-3	Away record	3-0-1
L1	Streak	L3

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Union Berlin · FSV Mainz 05

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
8.0	Shots	14.7
1.8	Shots on target	5.0
3.0	Corners	5.5
3.03	Cards	2.75
12.2	Fouls	13.7
37	Possession %	47
0.98	xG	1.88
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
16.8	Shots	17.0
5.8	Shots on target	6.7
5.5	Corners	5.5
1.87	Cards	1.50
10.7	Fouls	9.2
63	Possession %	53
1.42	xG	1.95
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Union Berlin	Metric	FSV Mainz 05
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Union Berlin wins: 1
Draws: 1
FSV Mainz 05 wins: 0
Goals / game: 4.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

FSV Mainz 05 v Union Berlin1–32026-05-10
Union Berlin v FSV Mainz 052–22026-01-10

Bundesliga table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	9	6	3	0	+20	21	Bayern München won 3 of the last 5
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	6	3	0	+9	21	Borussia Dortmund won 2 of the last 5
3	SC Freiburg	9	6	1	2	+10	19	SC Freiburg won 3 of the last 5
4	RB Leipzig	9	6	0	3	+14	18	RB Leipzig won 4 of the last 5
5	Bayer Leverkusen	9	5	1	3	+3	16	Bayer Leverkusen won 3 of the last 5
6	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	+2	15	Werder Bremen won 2 of the last 5
7	SV Elversberg	9	4	1	4	-1	13	SV Elversberg won 2 of the last 5
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	4	0	5	0	12	VfB Stuttgart won 3 of the last 5
9	1899 Hoffenheim	9	4	0	5	-1	12	1899 Hoffenheim won 3 of the last 5
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	3	3	3	-5	12	Eintracht Frankfurt won 2 of the last 5
11	Hamburger SV	9	4	0	5	-10	12	Hamburger SV won 3 of the last 5
12	FSV Mainz 05	9	3	1	5	-1	10	FSV Mainz 05 won 1 of the last 5
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	2	4	3	-3	10	SC Paderborn 07 won 1 of the last 5
14	FC Augsburg	9	2	3	4	0	9	FC Augsburg won 0 of the last 5
15	1. FC Köln	9	2	3	4	-4	9	1. FC Köln won 1 of the last 5
16	Union Berlin	9	1	4	4	-14	7	Union Berlin won 1 of the last 5
17	FC Schalke 04	9	1	3	5	-6	6	FC Schalke 04 won 0 of the last 5
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	1	1	7	-13	4	Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 of the last 5