Predicted Edge

Sydney v Melbourne Victory

3–0SydneySydney won 1 of the last 53rdMelbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory won 1 of the last 55th

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Sydney and Melbourne Victory
Sydney Melbourne Victory
30Played27
12-8-10W-D-L11-7-9
1.47Pts / game1.48
1.20Goals for / game1.63
0.93Goals against / game1.26
37%Over 2.552%
37%BTTS52%
40%Clean sheets22%
33%Failed to score33%
5-5-4Home record6-4-4
7-3-6Away record5-3-5
L1StreakL1

2025/26 league matches only, computed from results on record. Sydney · Melbourne Victory

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Conceded

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
SydneyMetricMelbourne Victory
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Sydney wins
2
Draws
1
Melbourne Victory wins
1
Goals / game
3.00
Over 2.5
75%
Both score
25%
A-League table
League table
#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1Auckland3013116+1750Auckland won 2 of the last 5
2Newcastle Jets281558+1650Newcastle Jets won 1 of the last 5
3Sydney3012810+844Sydney won 1 of the last 5
4Adelaide United281288+744Adelaide United won 2 of the last 5
5Melbourne Victory271179+1040Melbourne Victory won 1 of the last 5
6Melbourne City271098039Melbourne City won 3 of the last 5
7Macarthur269710-734Macarthur won 3 of the last 5
8Wellington Phoenix269611-1233Wellington Phoenix won 3 of the last 5
9Central Coast Mariners268810-732Central Coast Mariners won 1 of the last 5
10Perth Glory268711-731Perth Glory won 2 of the last 5
11Brisbane Roar266812-926Brisbane Roar won 0 of the last 5
12Western Sydney Wanderers265615-1621Western Sydney Wanderers won 0 of the last 5