Manchester City v 
Leeds
Manchester City won 3 of the last 52nd3–2Leeds won 1 of the last 58th
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Manchester City | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Played | 10 |
| 7-0-2 | W-D-L | 3-5-2 |
| 2.33 | Pts / game | 1.40 |
| 2.22 | Goals for / game | 1.00 |
| 1.11 | Goals against / game | 0.80 |
| 67% | Over 2.5 | 20% |
| 56% | BTTS | 50% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 40% |
| 11% | Failed to score | 30% |
| 4-0-1 | Home record | 2-3-0 |
| 3-0-1 | Away record | 1-2-2 |
| L2 | Streak | W1 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Manchester City · Leeds
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 17.2 | Shots | 12.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8 | Shots on target | 3.8 |
| 5.8 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 1.40 | Cards | 2.17 |
| 12.4 | Fouls | 13.8 |
| 63 | Possession % | 53 |
| 2.31 | xG | 1.18 |
| 5 matches | sample | 6 matches |
Conceded
| 10.6 | Shots | 11.8 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.6 | Shots on target | 4.5 |
| 3.8 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 2.65 | Cards | 1.83 |
| 16.6 | Fouls | 10.7 |
| 37 | Possession % | 48 |
| 1.59 | xG | 1.29 |
| 5 matches | sample | 6 matches |
Form comparison
| Manchester City | Metric | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Manchester City wins
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Leeds wins
- 0
- Goals / game
- 3.00
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- Both score
- 50%
- Leeds v Manchester City0–12026-02-28
- Manchester City v Leeds3–22025-11-29
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 27 | Arsenal won 5 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | Manchester City won 3 of the last 5 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | Brighton won 4 of the last 5 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | Chelsea won 3 of the last 5 |
| 5 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 | Everton won 2 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | Liverpool won 3 of the last 5 |
| 7 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | Brentford won 2 of the last 5 |
| 8 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 14 | Leeds won 1 of the last 5 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | Bournemouth won 3 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 | Tottenham won 3 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 | Newcastle won 1 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | Aston Villa won 3 of the last 5 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | Hull City won 0 of the last 5 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | Ipswich won 1 of the last 5 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 | Fulham won 2 of the last 5 |
| 16 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 | Coventry won 2 of the last 5 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | Manchester United won 0 of the last 5 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | Crystal Palace won 1 of the last 5 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | Nottingham Forest won 0 of the last 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | Sunderland won 0 of the last 5 |