Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Liverpool and Manchester City
Liverpool		Manchester City
10	Played	10
5-3-2	W-D-L	7-0-3
1.80	Pts / game	2.10
1.40	Goals for / game	2.10
1.00	Goals against / game	1.30
50%	Over 2.5	70%
40%	BTTS	60%
40%	Clean sheets	30%
30%	Failed to score	10%
1-2-2	Home record	4-0-1
4-1-0	Away record	3-0-2
W1	Streak	L3

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Liverpool · Manchester City

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
16.0	Shots	16.3
4.3	Shots on target	5.5
5.8	Corners	6.0
2.70	Cards	1.17
15.7	Fouls	11.5
48	Possession %	66
1.50	xG	2.19
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
13.3	Shots	10.7
3.2	Shots on target	4.7
3.7	Corners	3.7
2.57	Cards	2.87
10.2	Fouls	16.0
52	Possession %	35
1.32	xG	1.50
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Liverpool	Metric	Manchester City
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Liverpool wins: 0
Draws: 0
Manchester City wins: 4
Goals / game: 3.25
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 25%

Liverpool v Manchester City0–32026-10-11
Manchester City v Liverpool4–02026-04-04
Liverpool v Manchester City1–22026-02-08
Manchester City v Liverpool3–02025-11-09

Premier League table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+10	27	Arsenal won 5 of the last 5
2	Brighton	10	7	1	2	+19	22	Brighton won 4 of the last 5
3	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	+8	21	Manchester City won 2 of the last 5
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+4	18	Liverpool won 3 of the last 5
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	+3	16	Chelsea won 3 of the last 5
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	+2	16	Everton won 2 of the last 5
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	+2	15	Bournemouth won 4 of the last 5
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	+5	14	Brentford won 1 of the last 5
9	Leeds	10	3	5	2	+2	14	Leeds won 1 of the last 5
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	-3	13	Aston Villa won 2 of the last 5
11	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	-1	12	Tottenham won 3 of the last 5
12	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	-3	12	Newcastle won 1 of the last 5
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	0	11	Hull City won 0 of the last 5
14	Ipswich	10	3	2	5	-5	11	Ipswich won 1 of the last 5
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10	Fulham won 2 of the last 5
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	-4	9	Nottingham Forest won 1 of the last 5
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	-9	9	Coventry won 2 of the last 5
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	-5	8	Manchester United won 0 of the last 5
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	-9	8	Sunderland won 1 of the last 5
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	-14	7	Crystal Palace won 1 of the last 5