U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–2 Cruz Azul: stats and how the model saw it — 25 May 2026

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas		Cruz Azul
16	Played	16
5-6-5	W-D-L	10-2-4
1.31	Pts / game	2.00
1.50	Goals for / game	2.31
1.63	Goals against / game	1.63
63%	Over 2.5	81%
69%	BTTS	75%
6%	Clean sheets	13%
31%	Failed to score	13%
1-5-2	Home record	5-1-2
4-1-3	Away record	5-1-2
D1	Streak	W5

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Cruz Azul

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
11.4	Shots	17.1
3.7	Shots on target	6.6
4.4	Corners	4.9
2.29	Cards	2.57
11.0	Fouls	11.9
43	Possession %	54
1.60	xG	2.20
7 matches	sample	7 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
15.4	Shots	13.7
5.1	Shots on target	5.3
5.3	Corners	5.9
2.00	Cards	2.86
12.4	Fouls	12.9
57	Possession %	46
1.63	xG	1.74
7 matches	sample	7 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Metric	Cruz Azul
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins: 1
Draws: 3
Cruz Azul wins: 1
Goals / game: 3.60
Over 2.5: 80%
Both score: 80%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Cruz Azul3–32026-10-12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Cruz Azul1–22026-05-25
Cruz Azul v U.N.A.M. - Pumas0–02026-05-22
U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Cruz Azul2–22026-03-15
Cruz Azul v U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–32025-11-09

Liga MX table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Cruz Azul	16	10	2	4	+11	32	Cruz Azul won 5 of the last 5
2	Club America	16	8	6	2	+15	30	Club America won 1 of the last 5
3	Guadalajara Chivas	16	8	6	2	+11	30	Guadalajara Chivas won 3 of the last 5
4	Toluca	16	7	6	3	+14	27	Toluca won 1 of the last 5
5	Atlas	16	8	3	5	-3	27	Atlas won 3 of the last 5
6	Santos Laguna	16	8	1	7	+3	25	Santos Laguna won 4 of the last 5
7	Leon	16	6	5	5	+2	23	Leon won 1 of the last 5
8	CF Pachuca	16	6	4	6	+9	22	CF Pachuca won 3 of the last 5
9	Club Tijuana	16	5	7	4	+3	22	Club Tijuana won 1 of the last 5
10	Monterrey	15	6	3	6	+1	21	Monterrey won 2 of the last 5
11	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	5	6	5	-2	21	U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 2 of the last 5
12	Club Queretaro	15	6	2	7	-5	20	Club Queretaro won 0 of the last 5
13	Puebla	16	5	4	7	-4	19	Puebla won 1 of the last 5
14	Atletico San Luis	16	5	4	7	-5	19	Atletico San Luis won 2 of the last 5
15	Tigres UANL	16	3	6	7	-8	15	Tigres UANL won 0 of the last 5
16	Atlante FC	16	3	5	8	-10	14	Atlante FC won 1 of the last 5
17	Necaxa	16	3	4	9	-11	13	Necaxa won 1 of the last 5
18	FC Juarez	16	3	2	11	-21	11	FC Juarez won 2 of the last 5