Predicted Edge

Turkey U17 v Korea Republic U17

Turkey U17 won 3 of the last 3Korea Republic U17 won 1 of the last 1
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
35%
Both score
60%
Model pick
Turkey U17 41%
Likely score
1-1 12%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.40

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the marketFree

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Match resultTurkey U1741.3%2.42———
Match resultDraw25.6%3.90———
Match resultKorea Republic U1733.1%3.02———
Total goalsOver 1.580.4%1.24———
Total goalsUnder 1.519.6%5.11———
Total goalsOver 2.557.2%1.75———
Total goalsUnder 2.542.8%2.33———
Total goalsOver 3.534.8%2.88———
Total goalsUnder 3.565.2%1.53———
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes60.4%1.66———
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No39.6%2.53———

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Premium markets

No premium selection on this fixture yet
  • Asian handicap
  • Total goals

The model prices these markets for every fixture. Where a price clears the value threshold, patrons see the selection, the advised price and bookmaker, the stake in units and the reasoning behind it.

Turkey U17 favoured against Korea Republic U17

Our model makes Turkey U17 41% to win this Friendlies fixture, with the draw at 26% and Korea Republic U17 at 33%. The goal projection is 1.58 for Turkey U17 against 1.40 for Korea Republic U17 — a slight edge to Turkey U17 on expected output. A combined 2.98 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 57% and both teams to score at 60%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-1 12%
2-1 9%
1-2 8%
1-0 7%
0-1 6%

This season

Season records for Turkey U17 and Korea Republic U17
Turkey U17 Korea Republic U17
3Played1
3-0-0W-D-L1-0-0
3.00Pts / game3.00
1.67Goals for / game2.00
0.33Goals against / game1.00
33%Over 2.5100%
33%BTTS100%
67%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score0%
2-0-0Home record0-0-0
1-0-0Away record1-0-0
W3StreakW1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Turkey U17 · Korea Republic U17

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Conceded

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Turkey U17MetricKorea Republic U17
1.60Goals scored1.80 (better)
0.60 (better)Goals conceded1.00
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

No previous meetings on record.