Predicted Edge

Teungueth v Colombe

Teungueth won 2 of the last 40–2Colombe won 2 of the last 4

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Teungueth Colombe
3Shots10
1Shots on target7
2Corners4
—Fouls—
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
—Offsides—
—Passes—
62%Possession %38%
—xG—
Over 1.5
54%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
11%
Both score
34%
Model pick
Teungueth 42%
Likely score
0-0 18%
Expected goals
1.05 – 0.73

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Match resultTeungueth41.9%2.392.25 William Hill44.4%-2.6
Match resultDraw34.0%2.942.75 Bet36536.4%-2.4
Match resultColombe24.2%4.143.75 Bet36526.7%-2.5
Total goalsOver 1.554.0%1.851.64 BetVictor61.0%-7.0
Total goalsUnder 1.546.0%2.172.06 BetVictor48.5%-2.5
Total goalsOver 2.526.5%3.783.10 Bet36532.3%-5.8
Total goalsUnder 2.573.5%1.361.36 Bet36573.5%-0.0
Total goalsOver 3.510.6%9.447.50 BetVictor13.3%-2.7
Total goalsUnder 3.589.4%1.121.06 BetVictor94.3%-4.9
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes34.5%2.902.38 BetVictor42.0%-7.5
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No65.5%1.531.60 BetVictor62.5%+3.0

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Teungueth favoured against Colombe

Our model makes Teungueth 42% to win this CAF Champions League fixture, with the draw at 34% and Colombe at 24%. The goal projection is 1.05 for Teungueth against 0.73 for Colombe — a clear edge to Teungueth on expected output. A combined 1.78 goals points to a low-scoring, tight affair, which puts over 2.5 at 26% and both teams to score at 34%. The single most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 18%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
0-0 18%
1-0 17%
1-1 14%
0-1 11%
2-0 9%

This season

Season records for Teungueth and Colombe
Teungueth Colombe
4Played4
2-0-2W-D-L2-2-0
1.50Pts / game2.00
0.50Goals for / game0.75
0.75Goals against / game0.00
0%Over 2.50%
0%BTTS0%
50%Clean sheets100%
50%Failed to score50%
1-0-1Home record1-1-0
1-0-1Away record1-1-0
L2StreakW2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Teungueth · Colombe

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
5.0Shots8.5
1.0Shots on target5.5
3.5Corners3.0
1.50Cards2.00
—Fouls—
59Possession %41
—xG—
2 matchessample2 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
8.5Shots5.0
5.5Shots on target1.0
3.0Corners3.5
2.00Cards1.50
—Fouls—
41Possession %59
—xG—
2 matchessample2 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
TeunguethMetricColombe
1.00Goals scored2.00 (better)
0.00 (better)Goals conceded0.20
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Teungueth wins
0
Draws
0
Colombe wins
2
Goals / game
1.50
Over 2.5
0%
Both score
0%