Colombe v Teungueth

1–0

15:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Colombe		Teungueth
7	Shots	7
4	Shots on target	1
2	Corners	5
—	Fouls	—
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
—	Offsides	—
—	Passes	—
44%	Possession %	56%
—	xG	—

Over 1.5: 53%
Over 2.5: 25%
Over 3.5: 10%
Both score: 34%

Model pick: Colombe 37%
Likely score: 0-0 18%
Expected goals: 0.94 – 0.80

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Colombe	36.7%	2.73	1.70 BetVictor	58.8%	-22.1
Match result	Draw	34.7%	2.88	3.80 Dafabet	26.3%	+8.4
Match result	Teungueth	28.6%	3.50	6.50 BetVictor	15.4%	+13.2
Total goals	Over 1.5	52.7%	1.90	1.36 BetVictor	73.5%	-20.9
Total goals	Under 1.5	47.3%	2.11	2.90 BetVictor	34.5%	+12.9
Total goals	Over 2.5	25.4%	3.93	2.25 Betano	44.4%	-19.0
Total goals	Under 2.5	74.6%	1.34	1.67 Bet365	59.9%	+14.7
Total goals	Over 3.5	10.0%	10.03	4.20 BetVictor	23.8%	-13.8
Total goals	Under 3.5	90.0%	1.11	1.20 BetVictor	83.3%	+6.7
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	34.3%	2.92	2.25 BetVictor	44.4%	-10.2
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	65.7%	1.52	1.67 William Hill	59.9%	+5.8

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Colombe v Teungueth: too close to call

Our model makes Colombe 37% to win this CAF Champions League fixture, with the draw at 35% and Teungueth at 29%. The goal projection is 0.94 for Colombe against 0.80 for Teungueth — a slight edge to Colombe on expected output. A combined 1.74 goals points to a low-scoring, tight affair, which puts over 2.5 at 25% and both teams to score at 34%. The single most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 18%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 0-0 18%; 1-0 16%; 1-1 14%; 0-1 13%; 2-0 8%

This season

Season records for Colombe and Teungueth
Colombe		Teungueth
4	Played	4
2-2-0	W-D-L	2-0-2
2.00	Pts / game	1.50
0.75	Goals for / game	0.50
0.00	Goals against / game	0.75
0%	Over 2.5	0%
0%	BTTS	0%
100%	Clean sheets	50%
50%	Failed to score	50%
1-1-0	Home record	1-0-1
1-1-0	Away record	1-0-1
W2	Streak	L2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Colombe · Teungueth

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
8.5	Shots	5.0
5.5	Shots on target	1.0
3.0	Corners	3.5
2.00	Cards	1.50
—	Fouls	—
41	Possession %	59
—	xG	—
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
5.0	Shots	8.5
1.0	Shots on target	5.5
3.5	Corners	3.0
1.50	Cards	2.00
—	Fouls	—
59	Possession %	41
—	xG	—
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Colombe	Metric	Teungueth
2.00 (better)	Goals scored	0.75
0.20	Goals conceded	0.00 (better)
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Colombe wins: 2
Draws: 0
Teungueth wins: 0
Goals / game: 1.50
Over 2.5: 0%
Both score: 0%

Colombe v Teungueth1–02026-10-25
Teungueth v Colombe0–22026-10-18