Switzerland U18 v
Norway U19
- Over 1.5
- 88%
- Over 2.5
- 70%
- Over 3.5
- 49%
- Both score
- 70%
- Model pick
- Norway U19 45%
- Likely score
- 1-1 9%
- Expected goals
- 1.65 – 1.98
Advised bets
No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Switzerland U18 | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — | — |
| Match result | Draw | 22.4% | 4.45 | — | — | — |
| Match result | Norway U19 | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 1.5 | 11.9% | 8.41 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Over 3.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score — Yes | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score — No | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — | — |
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
Norway U19 favoured against Switzerland U18
Our model makes Switzerland U18 32% to win this Friendlies fixture, with the draw at 22% and Norway U19 at 45%. The goal projection is 1.65 for Switzerland U18 against 1.98 for Norway U19 — a clear edge to Norway U19 on expected output. A combined 3.63 goals points to a wide-open game that could get away from either side, which puts over 2.5 at 70% and both teams to score at 70%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
- Most likely scores
- 1-1 9%
- 1-2 9%
- 2-1 7%
- 2-2 7%
- 1-3 6%
This season
| Switzerland U18 | Norway U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Played | 12 |
| 1-0-0 | W-D-L | 5-1-6 |
| 3.00 | Pts / game | 1.33 |
| 2.00 | Goals for / game | 2.00 |
| 1.00 | Goals against / game | 1.67 |
| 100% | Over 2.5 | 67% |
| 100% | BTTS | 67% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 17% |
| 1-0-0 | Home record | 3-0-1 |
| 0-0-0 | Away record | 2-1-5 |
| W1 | Streak | L1 |
2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Switzerland U18 · Norway U19
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
No full-match statistics on record yet this season.
Conceded
No full-match statistics on record yet this season.
Form comparison
| Switzerland U18 | Metric | Norway U19 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.20 | Goals scored | 2.00 (better) |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded | 1.40 (better) |
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Switzerland U18 wins
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Norway U19 wins
- 0
- Goals / game
- 3.00
- Over 2.5
- 100%
- Both score
- 100%
- Switzerland U18 v Norway U192–12026-11-11