Predicted Edge

Switzerland U18 v Norway U19

Switzerland U18 won 1 of the last 12–1Norway U19 won 2 of the last 5
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
70%
Over 3.5
49%
Both score
70%
Model pick
Norway U19 45%
Likely score
1-1 9%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.98

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Match resultSwitzerland U1832.2%3.10———
Match resultDraw22.4%4.45———
Match resultNorway U1945.3%2.21———
Total goalsOver 1.588.1%1.14———
Total goalsUnder 1.511.9%8.41———
Total goalsOver 2.570.2%1.43———
Total goalsUnder 2.529.8%3.35———
Total goalsOver 3.549.0%2.04———
Total goalsUnder 3.551.0%1.96———
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes70.0%1.43———
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No30.0%3.33———

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Norway U19 favoured against Switzerland U18

Our model makes Switzerland U18 32% to win this Friendlies fixture, with the draw at 22% and Norway U19 at 45%. The goal projection is 1.65 for Switzerland U18 against 1.98 for Norway U19 — a clear edge to Norway U19 on expected output. A combined 3.63 goals points to a wide-open game that could get away from either side, which puts over 2.5 at 70% and both teams to score at 70%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-1 9%
1-2 9%
2-1 7%
2-2 7%
1-3 6%

This season

Season records for Switzerland U18 and Norway U19
Switzerland U18 Norway U19
1Played12
1-0-0W-D-L5-1-6
3.00Pts / game1.33
2.00Goals for / game2.00
1.00Goals against / game1.67
100%Over 2.567%
100%BTTS67%
0%Clean sheets25%
0%Failed to score17%
1-0-0Home record3-0-1
0-0-0Away record2-1-5
W1StreakL1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Switzerland U18 · Norway U19

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Conceded

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Switzerland U18MetricNorway U19
1.20Goals scored2.00 (better)
2.00Goals conceded1.40 (better)
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Switzerland U18 wins
1
Draws
0
Norway U19 wins
0
Goals / game
3.00
Over 2.5
100%
Both score
100%