ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for ST Johnstone and Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone		Kilmarnock
13	Played	13
4-5-4	W-D-L	2-3-8
1.31	Pts / game	0.69
1.31	Goals for / game	1.00
1.54	Goals against / game	2.23
54%	Over 2.5	62%
69%	BTTS	54%
8%	Clean sheets	15%
23%	Failed to score	38%
3-3-1	Home record	1-2-3
1-2-3	Away record	1-1-5
W1	Streak	L1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. ST Johnstone · Kilmarnock

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
10.5	Shots	13.8
3.0	Shots on target	3.8
2.7	Corners	5.5
1.50	Cards	2.50
10.2	Fouls	11.8
43	Possession %	48
1.17	xG	1.97
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
17.3	Shots	15.5
6.5	Shots on target	5.3
9.3	Corners	6.2
2.17	Cards	0.83
11.8	Fouls	9.7
57	Possession %	52
2.10	xG	1.90
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
ST Johnstone	Metric	Kilmarnock
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

ST Johnstone wins: 1
Draws: 1
Kilmarnock wins: 0
Goals / game: 5.50
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

Kilmarnock v ST Johnstone2–22026-10-31
ST Johnstone v Kilmarnock4–32026-08-02

Scottish Premiership table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Celtic	13	10	1	2	+18	31	Celtic won 3 of the last 5
2	Rangers	12	8	3	1	+12	27	Rangers won 3 of the last 5
3	Falkirk	13	6	3	4	+6	21	Falkirk won 5 of the last 5
4	Heart Of Midlothian	12	6	2	4	+4	20	Heart Of Midlothian won 2 of the last 5
5	Dundee	12	5	2	5	+3	17	Dundee won 2 of the last 5
6	Dundee Utd	12	4	5	3	0	17	Dundee Utd won 2 of the last 5
7	ST Johnstone	13	4	5	4	-3	17	ST Johnstone won 1 of the last 5
8	ST Mirren	13	4	2	7	-10	14	ST Mirren won 1 of the last 5
9	Motherwell	13	3	4	6	-6	13	Motherwell won 1 of the last 5
10	Hibernian	12	3	2	7	-2	11	Hibernian won 1 of the last 5
11	Aberdeen	12	3	2	7	-6	11	Aberdeen won 1 of the last 5
12	Kilmarnock	13	2	3	8	-16	9	Kilmarnock won 1 of the last 5