Predicted Edge

Slovakia U18 v Hungary U18

Slovakia U18 won 0 of the last 32–2Hungary U18 won 1 of the last 5
Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
39%
Both score
63%
Model pick
Slovakia U18 44%
Likely score
1-1 11%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.45

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Match resultSlovakia U1843.6%2.30———
Match resultDraw24.4%4.11———
Match resultHungary U1832.1%3.12———
Total goalsOver 1.583.1%1.20———
Total goalsUnder 1.516.9%5.90———
Total goalsOver 2.561.5%1.63———
Total goalsUnder 2.538.5%2.60———
Total goalsOver 3.539.2%2.55———
Total goalsUnder 3.560.8%1.64———
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes63.4%1.58———
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No36.6%2.73———

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Slovakia U18 favoured against Hungary U18

Our model makes Slovakia U18 44% to win this Friendlies fixture, with the draw at 24% and Hungary U18 at 32%. The goal projection is 1.72 for Slovakia U18 against 1.45 for Hungary U18 — a clear edge to Slovakia U18 on expected output. A combined 3.17 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 61% and both teams to score at 63%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-1 11%
2-1 9%
1-2 8%
1-0 7%
2-2 7%

This season

Season records for Slovakia U18 and Hungary U18
Slovakia U18 Hungary U18
3Played5
0-3-0W-D-L1-1-3
1.00Pts / game0.80
2.00Goals for / game1.20
2.00Goals against / game1.60
67%Over 2.560%
100%BTTS60%
0%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score20%
0-3-0Home record1-0-2
0-0-0Away record0-1-1
D3StreakD1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Slovakia U18 · Hungary U18

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Conceded

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Slovakia U18MetricHungary U18
1.80 (better)Goals scored1.40
1.80Goals conceded1.60 (better)
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Slovakia U18 wins
0
Draws
1
Hungary U18 wins
1
Goals / game
4.50
Over 2.5
100%
Both score
100%