Sidama Bunna v
Al Hilal Omdurman
- Over 1.5
- 64%
- Over 2.5
- 36%
- Over 3.5
- 17%
- Both score
- 44%
- Model pick
- Sidama Bunna 41%
- Likely score
- 1-1 14%
- Expected goals
- 1.20 – 0.95
Advised bets
No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sidama Bunna | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — | — |
| Match result | Draw | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — | — |
| Match result | Al Hilal Omdurman | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 1.5 | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Over 3.5 | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score — Yes | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score — No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — | — |
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
Sidama Bunna favoured against Al Hilal Omdurman
Our model makes Sidama Bunna 41% to win this CAF Champions League fixture, with the draw at 31% and Al Hilal Omdurman at 28%. The goal projection is 1.20 for Sidama Bunna against 0.95 for Al Hilal Omdurman — a slight edge to Sidama Bunna on expected output. A combined 2.15 goals points to a low-scoring, tight affair, which puts over 2.5 at 36% and both teams to score at 44%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
- Most likely scores
- 1-1 14%
- 1-0 13%
- 0-0 12%
- 0-1 10%
- 2-0 8%
This season
| Sidama Bunna | Al Hilal Omdurman | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1-1-2 | W-D-L | 4-0-0 |
| 1.00 | Pts / game | 3.00 |
| 0.75 | Goals for / game | 1.75 |
| 1.00 | Goals against / game | 0.00 |
| 25% | Over 2.5 | 0% |
| 0% | BTTS | 0% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 100% |
| 75% | Failed to score | 0% |
| 1-0-1 | Home record | 2-0-0 |
| 0-1-1 | Away record | 2-0-0 |
| L2 | Streak | W4 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Sidama Bunna · Al Hilal Omdurman
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 4.0 | Shots | 12.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Shots on target | 5.0 |
| 2.0 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 1.00 | Cards | 0.00 |
| — | Fouls | — |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| — | xG | — |
| 1 matches | sample | 1 matches |
Conceded
| 12.0 | Shots | 4.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Shots on target | 2.0 |
| 4.0 | Corners | 2.0 |
| 0.00 | Cards | 1.00 |
| — | Fouls | — |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| — | xG | — |
| 1 matches | sample | 1 matches |
Form comparison
| Sidama Bunna | Metric | Al Hilal Omdurman |
|---|---|---|
| 0.80 | Goals scored | 1.67 (better) |
| 0.60 | Goals conceded | 0.00 (better) |
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Sidama Bunna wins
- 0
- Draws
- 0
- Al Hilal Omdurman wins
- 2
- Goals / game
- 2.00
- Over 2.5
- 0%
- Both score
- 0%
- Al Hilal Omdurman v Sidama Bunna2–02026-10-25
- Sidama Bunna v Al Hilal Omdurman0–22026-10-18