Predicted Edge

Sidama Bunna v Al Hilal Omdurman

Sidama Bunna won 1 of the last 40–2Al Hilal Omdurman won 4 of the last 4
Over 1.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
17%
Both score
44%
Model pick
Sidama Bunna 41%
Likely score
1-1 14%
Expected goals
1.20 – 0.95

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Match resultSidama Bunna40.8%2.45———
Match resultDraw30.8%3.24———
Match resultAl Hilal Omdurman28.3%3.53———
Total goalsOver 1.564.1%1.56———
Total goalsUnder 1.535.9%2.78———
Total goalsOver 2.536.3%2.75———
Total goalsUnder 2.563.7%1.57———
Total goalsOver 3.517.1%5.86———
Total goalsUnder 3.582.9%1.21———
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes43.6%2.29———
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No56.4%1.77———

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Sidama Bunna favoured against Al Hilal Omdurman

Our model makes Sidama Bunna 41% to win this CAF Champions League fixture, with the draw at 31% and Al Hilal Omdurman at 28%. The goal projection is 1.20 for Sidama Bunna against 0.95 for Al Hilal Omdurman — a slight edge to Sidama Bunna on expected output. A combined 2.15 goals points to a low-scoring, tight affair, which puts over 2.5 at 36% and both teams to score at 44%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-1 14%
1-0 13%
0-0 12%
0-1 10%
2-0 8%

This season

Season records for Sidama Bunna and Al Hilal Omdurman
Sidama Bunna Al Hilal Omdurman
4Played4
1-1-2W-D-L4-0-0
1.00Pts / game3.00
0.75Goals for / game1.75
1.00Goals against / game0.00
25%Over 2.50%
0%BTTS0%
50%Clean sheets100%
75%Failed to score0%
1-0-1Home record2-0-0
0-1-1Away record2-0-0
L2StreakW4

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Sidama Bunna · Al Hilal Omdurman

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
4.0Shots12.0
2.0Shots on target5.0
2.0Corners4.0
1.00Cards0.00
—Fouls—
49Possession %51
—xG—
1 matchessample1 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
12.0Shots4.0
5.0Shots on target2.0
4.0Corners2.0
0.00Cards1.00
—Fouls—
51Possession %49
—xG—
1 matchessample1 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Sidama BunnaMetricAl Hilal Omdurman
0.80Goals scored1.67 (better)
0.60Goals conceded0.00 (better)
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Sidama Bunna wins
0
Draws
0
Al Hilal Omdurman wins
2
Goals / game
2.00
Over 2.5
0%
Both score
0%