Al Hilal Omdurman won 4 of the last 4WWWW2–0Sidama Bunna won 1 of the last 4LLWD
Match statistics
Full-time statistics
Al Hilal Omdurman
Sidama Bunna
12
Shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
4
Corners
2
—
Fouls
—
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
—
Offsides
—
—
Passes
—
51%
Possession %
49%
—
xG
—
43%
30%
26%
1 · Al Hilal OmdurmanXSidama Bunna · 2
Over 1.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
17%
Both score
43%
Model pick
Al Hilal Omdurman 43%
Likely score
1-0 14%
Expected goals
1.24 – 0.90
Advised bets
No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.
Our probabilities against the market
Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market
Selection
Ours
Fair
Best price
Implied
Gap
Match result
Al Hilal Omdurman
43.3%
2.31
1.45 BetVictor
69.0%
-25.6
Match result
Draw
30.4%
3.29
4.10 Dafabet
24.4%
+6.0
Match result
Sidama Bunna
26.3%
3.80
8.20 Dafabet
12.2%
+14.1
Total goals
Over 1.5
63.8%
1.57
1.40 BetVictor
71.4%
-7.7
Total goals
Under 1.5
36.2%
2.76
2.75 BetVictor
36.4%
-0.1
Total goals
Over 2.5
36.2%
2.76
2.10 Bet365
47.6%
-11.4
Total goals
Under 2.5
63.8%
1.57
1.65 Bet365
60.6%
+3.2
Total goals
Over 3.5
16.9%
5.90
4.50 BetVictor
22.2%
-5.3
Total goals
Under 3.5
83.1%
1.20
1.18 BetVictor
84.7%
-1.7
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes
42.9%
2.33
2.50 William Hill
40.0%
+2.9
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No
57.1%
1.75
1.53 William Hill
65.4%
-8.3
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
Al Hilal Omdurman favoured against Sidama Bunna
Our model makes Al Hilal Omdurman 43% to win this CAF Champions League fixture, with the draw at 30% and Sidama Bunna at 26%. The goal projection is 1.24 for Al Hilal Omdurman against 0.90 for Sidama Bunna — a clear edge to Al Hilal Omdurman on expected output. A combined 2.14 goals points to a low-scoring, tight affair, which puts over 2.5 at 36% and both teams to score at 43%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
Most likely scores
1-0 14%
1-1 14%
0-0 12%
0-1 10%
2-0 9%
This season
Season records for Al Hilal Omdurman and Sidama Bunna
Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (3 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Al Hilal Omdurman
Metric
Sidama Bunna
1.67 (better)
Goals scored
0.75
0.00 (better)
Goals conceded
0.75
—
Expected goals (xG)
—
—
Big chances *
—
—
Shots on target
—
—
Total shots
—
—
Touches in opp. box *
—
—
Corners
—
—
Possession %
—
—
Passes
—
—
Tackles
—
—
Fouls
—
—
Offsides
—
—
Throw-ins *
—
—
Yellow cards
—
—
Red cards
—
* Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
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Al Hilal Omdurman v 
Sidama Bunna