Reading v Bradford
- Over 1.5
- 70%
- Over 2.5
- 44%
- Over 3.5
- 23%
- Both score
- 49%
- Model pick
- Reading 43%
- Likely score
- 1-1 14%
- Expected goals
- 1.37 – 1.05
Advised bets
No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Reading | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — | — |
| Match result | Draw | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — | — |
| Match result | Bradford | 28.1% | 3.55 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 1.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Over 3.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score — Yes | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score — No | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — | — |
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
Reading favoured against Bradford
Our model makes Reading 43% to win this League One fixture, with the draw at 29% and Bradford at 28%. The goal projection is 1.37 for Reading against 1.05 for Bradford — a clear edge to Reading on expected output. A combined 2.42 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 44% and both teams to score at 49%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
- Most likely scores
- 1-1 14%
- 1-0 11%
- 0-0 10%
- 2-1 9%
- 0-1 9%
This season
| Reading | Bradford | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 3-2-2 | W-D-L | 5-0-2 |
| 1.57 | Pts / game | 2.14 |
| 2.29 | Goals for / game | 1.00 |
| 1.29 | Goals against / game | 0.57 |
| 71% | Over 2.5 | 14% |
| 57% | BTTS | 14% |
| 43% | Clean sheets | 71% |
| 14% | Failed to score | 14% |
| 3-0-1 | Home record | 2-0-1 |
| 0-2-1 | Away record | 3-0-1 |
| D1 | Streak | W3 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Reading · Bradford
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
No full-match statistics on record yet this season.
Conceded
No full-match statistics on record yet this season.
Form comparison
| Reading | Metric | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 (better) | Goals scored | 1.75 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded | 0.50 (better) |
| 2.46 (better) | Expected goals (xG) | 0.40 |
| Big chances | ||
| 5.40 (better) | Shots on target | 4.50 |
| 18.40 (better) | Total shots | 10.50 |
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| 5.00 | Corners | 5.50 (better) |
| 45.2 | Possession % | 49.3 (better) |
| 328 | Passes | 364 (better) |
| Tackles | ||
| 12.20 (better) | Fouls | 14.00 |
| 2.80 | Offsides | 1.00 (better) |
| Throw-ins | ||
| 1.20 (better) | Yellow cards | 3.00 |
| 0.00 | Red cards | 0.00 |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to headFull record →
- Reading wins
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Bradford wins
- 1
- Goals / game
- 2.50
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- Both score
- 50%
- Reading v Bradford2–12026-02-28
- Bradford v Reading2–02025-12-13
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 | Bradford won 3 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 | Sheffield Wednesday won 3 of the last 5 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 13 | Stockport County won 2 of the last 5 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 | Plymouth won 3 of the last 5 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 13 | Cambridge United won 2 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 | Huddersfield won 2 of the last 5 |
| 7 | Burton Albion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 | Burton Albion won 2 of the last 5 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 12 | AFC Wimbledon won 2 of the last 5 |
| 9 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 | Reading won 3 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 | Oxford United won 3 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 | Leyton Orient won 2 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 | Wycombe won 2 of the last 5 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 | Stevenage won 2 of the last 5 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 | Leicester won 2 of the last 5 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | Blackpool won 1 of the last 5 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 | Luton won 1 of the last 5 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 | Mansfield Town won 1 of the last 5 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 | Barnsley won 2 of the last 5 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 8 | Bromley won 1 of the last 5 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 | Notts County won 1 of the last 5 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | Doncaster won 1 of the last 5 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 | Milton Keynes Dons won 0 of the last 5 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 | Peterborough won 0 of the last 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | Wigan won 1 of the last 5 |