Qatar U23 won 1 of the last 5DDLWL0–0Singapore U23 won 0 of the last 1D
Match statistics
Full-time statistics
Qatar U23
Singapore U23
13
Shots
1
4
Shots on target
1
5
Corners
0
—
Fouls
—
3
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
—
Offsides
—
—
Passes
—
63%
Possession %
37%
—
xG
—
46%
25%
29%
1 · Qatar U23XSingapore U23 · 2
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
33%
Both score
58%
Model pick
Qatar U23 46%
Likely score
1-1 12%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.26
Advised bets
No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.
Our probabilities against the market
Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market
Selection
Ours
Fair
Best price
Implied
Gap
Match result
Qatar U23
45.8%
2.18
1.41 Dafabet
70.9%
-25.1
Match result
Draw
25.4%
3.94
5.60 Dafabet
17.9%
+7.5
Match result
Singapore U23
28.8%
3.47
12.00 Dafabet
8.3%
+20.5
Total goals
Over 1.5
79.2%
1.26
1.22 Bet365
82.0%
-2.7
Total goals
Under 1.5
20.8%
4.82
6.00 Bet365
16.7%
+4.1
Total goals
Over 2.5
55.6%
1.80
1.71 BetVictor
58.5%
-2.9
Total goals
Under 2.5
44.4%
2.25
2.55 Betfair
39.2%
+5.2
Total goals
Over 3.5
33.2%
3.01
2.88 BetVictor
34.7%
-1.5
Total goals
Under 3.5
66.8%
1.50
1.57 Bet365
63.7%
+3.1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes
58.4%
1.71
2.30 BetVictor
43.5%
+15.0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No
41.6%
2.41
1.75 Betfair
57.1%
-15.6
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
Qatar U23 favoured against Singapore U23
Our model makes Qatar U23 46% to win this Friendlies fixture, with the draw at 25% and Singapore U23 at 29%. The goal projection is 1.65 for Qatar U23 against 1.26 for Singapore U23 — a clear edge to Qatar U23 on expected output. A combined 2.91 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 56% and both teams to score at 58%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Qatar U23
Metric
Singapore U23
1.00 (better)
Goals scored
0.40
2.40 (better)
Goals conceded
3.00
—
Expected goals (xG)
—
—
Big chances *
—
—
Shots on target
—
—
Total shots
—
—
Touches in opp. box *
—
—
Corners
—
—
Possession %
—
—
Passes
—
—
Tackles
—
—
Fouls
—
—
Offsides
—
—
Throw-ins *
—
—
Yellow cards
—
—
Red cards
—
* Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
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Qatar U23 v 
Singapore U23