Newcastle v 
Manchester City
Newcastle won 1 of the last 512th0–2Manchester City won 2 of the last 53rd
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Newcastle | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 3-3-4 | W-D-L | 7-0-3 |
| 1.20 | Pts / game | 2.10 |
| 1.30 | Goals for / game | 2.10 |
| 1.60 | Goals against / game | 1.30 |
| 50% | Over 2.5 | 70% |
| 60% | BTTS | 60% |
| 20% | Clean sheets | 30% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 10% |
| 1-2-2 | Home record | 4-0-1 |
| 2-1-2 | Away record | 3-0-2 |
| D1 | Streak | L3 |
2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Newcastle · Manchester City
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 14.8 | Shots | 15.9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4 | Shots on target | 5.1 |
| 5.0 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 2.67 | Cards | 1.14 |
| 11.5 | Fouls | 10.3 |
| 53 | Possession % | 64 |
| 1.35 | xG | 1.99 |
| 8 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Conceded
| 14.5 | Shots | 11.6 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8 | Shots on target | 4.9 |
| 4.8 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 2.25 | Cards | 2.88 |
| 10.0 | Fouls | 16.6 |
| 48 | Possession % | 36 |
| 1.69 | xG | 1.58 |
| 8 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Form comparison
| Newcastle | Metric | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Newcastle wins
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Manchester City wins
- 4
- Goals / game
- 3.20
- Over 2.5
- 80%
- Both score
- 80%
- Newcastle v Manchester City1–32026-03-07
- Manchester City v Newcastle2–12026-02-21
- Manchester City v Newcastle3–12026-02-04
- Newcastle v Manchester City0–22026-01-13
- Newcastle v Manchester City2–12025-11-22