Manchester City v 
Newcastle
Manchester City won 2 of the last 53rd3–1Newcastle won 1 of the last 512th
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Manchester City | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 7-0-3 | W-D-L | 3-3-4 |
| 2.10 | Pts / game | 1.20 |
| 2.10 | Goals for / game | 1.30 |
| 1.30 | Goals against / game | 1.60 |
| 70% | Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 60% | BTTS | 60% |
| 30% | Clean sheets | 20% |
| 10% | Failed to score | 20% |
| 4-0-1 | Home record | 1-2-2 |
| 3-0-2 | Away record | 2-1-2 |
| L3 | Streak | D1 |
2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Manchester City · Newcastle
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 15.9 | Shots | 14.8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.1 | Shots on target | 4.4 |
| 5.6 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 1.14 | Cards | 2.67 |
| 10.3 | Fouls | 11.5 |
| 64 | Possession % | 53 |
| 1.99 | xG | 1.35 |
| 7 matches | sample | 8 matches |
Conceded
| 11.6 | Shots | 14.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9 | Shots on target | 4.8 |
| 4.1 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 2.88 | Cards | 2.25 |
| 16.6 | Fouls | 10.0 |
| 36 | Possession % | 48 |
| 1.58 | xG | 1.69 |
| 7 matches | sample | 8 matches |
Form comparison
| Manchester City | Metric | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Manchester City wins
- 4
- Draws
- 0
- Newcastle wins
- 1
- Goals / game
- 3.20
- Over 2.5
- 80%
- Both score
- 80%
- Newcastle v Manchester City1–32026-03-07
- Manchester City v Newcastle2–12026-02-21
- Manchester City v Newcastle3–12026-02-04
- Newcastle v Manchester City0–22026-01-13
- Newcastle v Manchester City2–12025-11-22