Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Cerezo Osaka

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus		Cerezo Osaka
14	Played	14
4-2-8	W-D-L	4-5-5
1.00	Pts / game	1.21
1.07	Goals for / game	1.14
1.64	Goals against / game	1.79
57%	Over 2.5	50%
64%	BTTS	57%
0%	Clean sheets	29%
36%	Failed to score	29%
2-2-3	Home record	3-3-1
2-0-5	Away record	1-2-4
L2	Streak	W1

2027/28 league matches only, computed from results on record. Nagoya Grampus · Cerezo Osaka

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
14.0	Shots	15.0
4.3	Shots on target	4.2
4.5	Corners	3.7
1.17	Cards	3.50
12.0	Fouls	10.7
53	Possession %	48
1.37	xG	1.10
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
11.7	Shots	14.0
4.3	Shots on target	4.3
4.0	Corners	4.0
1.83	Cards	1.83
12.8	Fouls	14.2
48	Possession %	53
1.11	xG	1.40
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Nagoya Grampus	Metric	Cerezo Osaka
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Nagoya Grampus wins: 1
Draws: 1
Cerezo Osaka wins: 1
Goals / game: 4.00
Over 2.5: 67%
Both score: 67%

Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka1–12026-10-21
Cerezo Osaka v Nagoya Grampus6–12026-05-17
Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka3–02026-04-04

J1 League table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Tokyo	14	10	3	1	+25	33	FC Tokyo won 4 of the last 5
2	Kashiwa Reysol	14	10	1	3	+11	31	Kashiwa Reysol won 3 of the last 5
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	14	9	3	2	+22	30	Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 3 of the last 5
4	Machida Zelvia	14	8	5	1	+20	29	Machida Zelvia won 2 of the last 5
5	Vissel Kobe	14	8	3	3	+9	27	Vissel Kobe won 2 of the last 5
6	Kashima	14	7	2	5	+5	23	Kashima won 2 of the last 5
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	14	5	7	2	+6	22	Yokohama F. Marinos won 1 of the last 5
8	Kawasaki Frontale	14	6	4	4	+4	22	Kawasaki Frontale won 3 of the last 5
9	Urawa	14	7	1	6	-6	22	Urawa won 3 of the last 5
10	Fagiano Okayama	14	5	2	7	-6	17	Fagiano Okayama won 1 of the last 5
11	Cerezo Osaka	14	4	5	5	-9	17	Cerezo Osaka won 1 of the last 5
12	Kyoto Sanga	14	4	4	6	-4	16	Kyoto Sanga won 2 of the last 5
13	Nagoya Grampus	14	4	2	8	-8	14	Nagoya Grampus won 1 of the last 5
14	Tokyo Verdy	14	3	5	6	-10	14	Tokyo Verdy won 3 of the last 5
15	Shimizu S-pulse	14	4	2	8	-13	14	Shimizu S-pulse won 0 of the last 5
16	V-varen Nagasaki	14	3	4	7	-5	13	V-varen Nagasaki won 1 of the last 5
17	JEF United Chiba	14	3	4	7	-8	13	JEF United Chiba won 2 of the last 5
18	Gamba Osaka	14	2	6	6	-8	12	Gamba Osaka won 1 of the last 5
19	Mito Hollyhock	14	2	3	9	-14	9	Mito Hollyhock won 0 of the last 5
20	Avispa Fukuoka	14	2	2	10	-11	8	Avispa Fukuoka won 0 of the last 5