MC Alger v Enugu Rangers

3–0

19:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
MC Alger		Enugu Rangers
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
9	Corners	1
—	Fouls	—
1	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
3	Offsides	2
—	Passes	—
69%	Possession %	31%
—	xG	—

Over 1.5: 68%
Over 2.5: 41%
Over 3.5: 21%
Both score: 44%

Model pick: MC Alger 54%
Likely score: 1-0 14%
Expected goals: 1.52 – 0.81

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	MC Alger	53.5%	1.87	1.31 Dafabet	76.3%	-22.8
Match result	Draw	27.1%	3.69	11.00 William Hill	9.1%	+18.0
Match result	Enugu Rangers	19.4%	5.16	61.00 William Hill	1.6%	+17.7
Total goals	Over 1.5	68.3%	1.46	1.22 Betfair	82.0%	-13.6
Total goals	Under 1.5	31.7%	3.16	4.80 Betfair	20.8%	+10.8
Total goals	Over 2.5	41.4%	2.42	1.70 Betano	58.8%	-17.5
Total goals	Under 2.5	58.6%	1.71	2.30 Bet365	43.5%	+15.2
Total goals	Over 3.5	20.8%	4.81	2.75 BetVictor	36.4%	-15.6
Total goals	Under 3.5	79.2%	1.26	1.49 BetVictor	67.1%	+12.1
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	44.1%	2.27	5.50 William Hill	18.2%	+25.9
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	55.9%	1.79	1.40 William Hill	71.4%	-15.5

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

MC Alger favoured against Enugu Rangers

Our model makes MC Alger 54% to win this CAF Champions League fixture, with the draw at 27% and Enugu Rangers at 19%. The goal projection is 1.52 for MC Alger against 0.81 for Enugu Rangers — a substantial edge to MC Alger on expected output. A combined 2.34 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 41% and both teams to score at 44%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-0 14%; 1-1 13%; 2-0 11%; 0-0 10%; 2-1 9%

This season

Season records for MC Alger and Enugu Rangers
MC Alger		Enugu Rangers
4	Played	4
2-1-1	W-D-L	1-2-1
1.75	Pts / game	1.25
2.00	Goals for / game	1.00
0.50	Goals against / game	1.25
50%	Over 2.5	25%
0%	BTTS	50%
75%	Clean sheets	25%
50%	Failed to score	25%
2-0-0	Home record	1-1-0
0-1-1	Away record	0-1-1
W1	Streak	L1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. MC Alger · Enugu Rangers

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
9.0	Corners	1.0
1.00	Cards	4.00
—	Fouls	—
69	Possession %	31
—	xG	—
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
1.0	Corners	9.0
4.00	Cards	1.00
—	Fouls	—
31	Possession %	69
—	xG	—
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (3 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
MC Alger	Metric	Enugu Rangers
1.33	Goals scored	1.40 (better)
0.33 (better)	Goals conceded	1.00
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

MC Alger wins: 1
Draws: 0
Enugu Rangers wins: 1
Goals / game: 2.50
Over 2.5: 50%
Both score: 0%

MC Alger v Enugu Rangers3–02026-10-23
Enugu Rangers v MC Alger2–02026-10-18