Enugu Rangers v MC Alger

2–0

13:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Enugu Rangers		MC Alger
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
—	Corners	—
—	Fouls	—
—	Yellow cards	—
—	Red cards	—
—	Offsides	—
—	Passes	—
—	Possession %	—
—	xG	—

Over 1.5: 66%
Over 2.5: 38%
Over 3.5: 19%
Both score: 46%

Model pick: MC Alger 36%
Likely score: 1-1 14%
Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.14

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Enugu Rangers	33.3%	3.00	3.60 Bet365	27.8%	+5.6
Match result	Draw	30.5%	3.27	3.00 Bet365	33.3%	-2.8
Match result	MC Alger	36.1%	2.77	2.10 William Hill	47.6%	-11.5
Total goals	Over 1.5	65.9%	1.52	1.45 BetVictor	69.0%	-3.1
Total goals	Under 1.5	34.1%	2.93	—	—	—
Total goals	Over 2.5	38.3%	2.61	2.40 Bet365	41.7%	-3.3
Total goals	Under 2.5	61.7%	1.62	1.54 BetVictor	64.9%	-3.3
Total goals	Over 3.5	18.5%	5.40	4.80 BetVictor	20.8%	-2.3
Total goals	Under 3.5	81.5%	1.23	—	—	—
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	45.8%	2.18	2.00 William Hill	50.0%	-4.2
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	54.2%	1.84	1.75 William Hill	57.1%	-2.9

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Enugu Rangers v MC Alger: too close to call

Our model makes Enugu Rangers 33% to win this CAF Champions League fixture, with the draw at 31% and MC Alger at 36%. The goal projection is 1.08 for Enugu Rangers against 1.14 for MC Alger — almost nothing to MC Alger on expected output. A combined 2.22 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 38% and both teams to score at 46%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 14%; 0-0 12%; 0-1 12%; 1-0 11%; 1-2 8%

This season

Season records for Enugu Rangers and MC Alger
Enugu Rangers		MC Alger
4	Played	4
1-2-1	W-D-L	2-1-1
1.25	Pts / game	1.75
1.00	Goals for / game	2.00
1.25	Goals against / game	0.50
25%	Over 2.5	50%
50%	BTTS	0%
25%	Clean sheets	75%
25%	Failed to score	50%
1-1-0	Home record	2-0-0
0-1-1	Away record	0-1-1
L1	Streak	W1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Enugu Rangers · MC Alger

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
1.0	Corners	9.0
4.00	Cards	1.00
—	Fouls	—
31	Possession %	69
—	xG	—
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
9.0	Corners	1.0
1.00	Cards	4.00
—	Fouls	—
69	Possession %	31
—	xG	—
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Enugu Rangers	Metric	MC Alger
1.80 (better)	Goals scored	1.50
1.00	Goals conceded	0.00 (better)
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Enugu Rangers wins: 1
Draws: 0
MC Alger wins: 1
Goals / game: 2.50
Over 2.5: 50%
Both score: 0%

MC Alger v Enugu Rangers3–02026-10-23
Enugu Rangers v MC Alger2–02026-10-18