KuPS 4–3 Ilves

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for KuPS and Ilves
KuPS		Ilves
32	Played	27
14-11-7	W-D-L	11-5-11
1.66	Pts / game	1.41
1.44	Goals for / game	1.67
1.03	Goals against / game	1.44
34%	Over 2.5	59%
53%	BTTS	56%
28%	Clean sheets	33%
25%	Failed to score	11%
7-6-3	Home record	9-1-4
7-5-4	Away record	2-4-7
L2	Streak	W1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. KuPS · Ilves

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
14.9	Shots	11.0
5.3	Shots on target	3.5
7.3	Corners	1.5
1.86	Cards	2.50
12.3	Fouls	9.0
57	Possession %	40
1.18	xG	1.59
7 matches	sample	2 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
9.6	Shots	16.0
3.6	Shots on target	1.5
2.7	Corners	7.5
2.00	Cards	2.50
13.4	Fouls	9.0
43	Possession %	61
1.23	xG	1.37
7 matches	sample	2 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
KuPS	Metric	Ilves
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

KuPS wins: 2
Draws: 1
Ilves wins: 1
Goals / game: 4.75
Over 2.5: 75%
Both score: 100%

KuPS v Ilves4–32026-06-23
Ilves v KuPS1–32026-04-04
Ilves v KuPS1–12025-10-16
KuPS v Ilves2–42025-09-14

Veikkausliiga table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter Turku	32	17	10	5	+16	61	Inter Turku won 3 of the last 5
2	HJK Helsinki	32	17	8	7	+27	59	HJK Helsinki won 3 of the last 5
3	KuPS	32	14	11	7	+13	53	KuPS won 1 of the last 5
4	AC Oulu	32	14	6	12	+1	48	AC Oulu won 3 of the last 5
5	Gnistan	32	12	10	10	+5	46	Gnistan won 1 of the last 5
6	VPS	32	11	7	14	-11	40	VPS won 0 of the last 5
7	Lahti	27	11	6	10	+9	39	Lahti won 2 of the last 5
8	Ilves	27	11	5	11	+6	38	Ilves won 4 of the last 5
9	Turku PS	27	8	8	11	-4	32	Turku PS won 0 of the last 5
10	SJK	27	6	9	12	-8	27	SJK won 2 of the last 5
11	FF Jaro	29	5	10	14	-26	25	FF Jaro won 2 of the last 5
12	Mariehamn	27	4	7	16	-27	19	Mariehamn won 1 of the last 5
13	PK-35	2	0	1	1	-1	1	PK-35 won 0 of the last 2