Grasshoppers v FC Vaduz

10th2–211th

17:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Grasshoppers		FC Vaduz
20	Shots	20
7	Shots on target	5
8	Corners	6
10	Fouls	17
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
2	Offsides	2
350	Passes	507
41%	Possession %	59%
2.77	xG	2.06

Over 1.5: 90%
Over 2.5: 74%
Over 3.5: 54%
Both score: 70%

Model pick: FC Vaduz 59%
Likely score: 1-2 9%
Expected goals: 1.43 – 2.43

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Grasshoppers	21.3%	4.71	2.75 Bet365	36.4%	-15.1
Match result	Draw	19.6%	5.10	4.05 Betano	24.7%	-5.1
Match result	FC Vaduz	59.1%	1.69	2.50 Bet365	40.0%	+19.1
Total goals	Over 1.5	90.1%	1.11	1.15 Betano	87.0%	+3.2
Total goals	Under 3.5	46.2%	2.17	1.83 Bet365	54.6%	-8.5
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	69.7%	1.43	1.40 William Hill	71.4%	-1.7
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	30.3%	3.30	3.10 BetVictor	32.3%	-2.0
Total goals	Under 1.5	9.9%	10.12	7.00 Bet365	14.3%	-4.4
Total goals	Over 2.5	74.0%	1.35	1.48 Bet365	67.6%	+6.5
Total goals	Under 2.5	26.0%	3.85	3.10 Bet365	32.3%	-6.3
Total goals	Over 3.5	53.8%	1.86	2.15 Betfair	46.5%	+7.3

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

FC Vaduz favoured against Grasshoppers

Our model makes Grasshoppers 21% to win this Swiss Super League fixture, with the draw at 20% and FC Vaduz at 59%. The goal projection is 1.43 for Grasshoppers against 2.43 for FC Vaduz — a commanding edge to FC Vaduz on expected output. A combined 3.86 goals points to a wide-open game that could get away from either side, which puts over 2.5 at 74% and both teams to score at 70%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-2 9%; 1-1 8%; 1-3 7%; 2-2 6%; 0-2 6%

This season

Season records for Grasshoppers and FC Vaduz
Grasshoppers		FC Vaduz
13	Played	13
2-5-6	W-D-L	3-1-9
0.85	Pts / game	0.77
1.23	Goals for / game	1.85
2.23	Goals against / game	2.23
54%	Over 2.5	100%
69%	BTTS	85%
23%	Clean sheets	8%
15%	Failed to score	8%
1-3-3	Home record	3-0-3
1-2-3	Away record	0-1-6
D3	Streak	L1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Grasshoppers · FC Vaduz

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
12.8	Shots	17.0
4.3	Shots on target	4.8
4.3	Corners	4.6
1.50	Cards	2.20
10.8	Fouls	13.6
40	Possession %	60
1.42	xG	2.04
4 matches	sample	5 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
20.5	Shots	17.0
5.0	Shots on target	6.4
7.5	Corners	5.4
2.25	Cards	2.20
14.8	Fouls	12.0
60	Possession %	46
1.96	xG	1.93
4 matches	sample	5 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Grasshoppers	Metric	FC Vaduz
3.00 (better)	Goals scored	1.80
2.20	Goals conceded	1.40 (better)
1.08	Expected goals (xG)	1.93 (better)
	Big chances
3.50	Shots on target	5.60 (better)
14.50	Total shots	15.80 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
5.50 (better)	Corners	3.40
46.5	Possession %	59.2 (better)
393	Passes	521 (better)
	Tackles
8.50 (better)	Fouls	13.20
2.00	Offsides	1.20 (better)
	Throw-ins
1.50 (better)	Yellow cards	2.00
0.00	Red cards	0.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Grasshoppers wins: 0
Draws: 1
FC Vaduz wins: 1
Goals / game: 5.50
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

Grasshoppers v FC Vaduz2–22026-10-31
FC Vaduz v Grasshoppers5–22026-08-30

Swiss Super League table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Lugano	13	11	1	1	+21	34	FC Lugano won 4 of the last 5
2	BSC Young Boys	13	8	4	1	+16	28	BSC Young Boys won 4 of the last 5
3	FC Sion	13	8	2	3	+11	26	FC Sion won 2 of the last 5
4	FC ST. Gallen	13	7	1	5	+2	22	FC ST. Gallen won 4 of the last 5
5	FC Zurich	13	6	3	4	-1	21	FC Zurich won 3 of the last 5
6	Servette FC	13	5	2	6	+1	17	Servette FC won 2 of the last 5
7	FC Basel 1893	13	4	3	6	-4	15	FC Basel 1893 won 0 of the last 5
8	FC Thun	13	4	2	7	-10	14	FC Thun won 2 of the last 5
9	FC Luzern	13	3	4	6	-7	13	FC Luzern won 1 of the last 5
10	Grasshoppers	13	2	5	6	-13	11	Grasshoppers won 0 of the last 5
11	FC Vaduz	13	3	1	9	-5	10	FC Vaduz won 1 of the last 5
12	Lausanne	13	1	4	8	-11	7	Lausanne won 0 of the last 5