FC Luzern 1–3 FC Thun

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for FC Luzern and FC Thun
FC Luzern		FC Thun
13	Played	13
3-4-6	W-D-L	4-2-7
1.00	Pts / game	1.08
1.62	Goals for / game	2.08
2.15	Goals against / game	2.85
77%	Over 2.5	85%
77%	BTTS	77%
8%	Clean sheets	8%
15%	Failed to score	23%
3-1-3	Home record	0-2-4
0-3-3	Away record	4-0-3
L1	Streak	D1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. FC Luzern · FC Thun

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
17.8	Shots	15.6
4.5	Shots on target	6.0
6.0	Corners	5.4
2.00	Cards	2.20
14.3	Fouls	16.8
48	Possession %	46
1.67	xG	1.85
4 matches	sample	5 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
16.3	Shots	15.8
5.8	Shots on target	5.2
4.5	Corners	4.8
2.00	Cards	1.40
10.3	Fouls	12.8
52	Possession %	54
2.36	xG	1.63
4 matches	sample	5 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
FC Luzern	Metric	FC Thun
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

FC Luzern wins: 0
Draws: 0
FC Thun wins: 4
Goals / game: 3.75
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

FC Luzern v FC Thun1–32026-07-25
FC Thun v FC Luzern2–12026-02-28
FC Thun v FC Luzern4–12025-12-06
FC Luzern v FC Thun1–22025-08-09

Swiss Super League table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Lugano	13	11	1	1	+21	34	FC Lugano won 4 of the last 5
2	BSC Young Boys	13	8	4	1	+16	28	BSC Young Boys won 4 of the last 5
3	FC Sion	13	8	2	3	+11	26	FC Sion won 2 of the last 5
4	FC ST. Gallen	13	7	1	5	+2	22	FC ST. Gallen won 4 of the last 5
5	FC Zurich	13	6	3	4	-1	21	FC Zurich won 3 of the last 5
6	Servette FC	13	5	2	6	+1	17	Servette FC won 2 of the last 5
7	FC Basel 1893	13	4	3	6	-4	15	FC Basel 1893 won 0 of the last 5
8	FC Thun	13	4	2	7	-10	14	FC Thun won 2 of the last 5
9	FC Luzern	13	3	4	6	-7	13	FC Luzern won 1 of the last 5
10	Grasshoppers	13	2	5	6	-13	11	Grasshoppers won 0 of the last 5
11	FC Vaduz	13	3	1	9	-5	10	FC Vaduz won 1 of the last 5
12	Lausanne	13	1	4	8	-11	7	Lausanne won 0 of the last 5