Predicted Edge

Barcelona v Atletico Madrid

Barcelona won 4 of the last 51st3–0Atletico Madrid won 4 of the last 53rd

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Barcelona and Atletico Madrid
Barcelona Atletico Madrid
12Played12
11-0-1W-D-L9-1-2
2.75Pts / game2.33
4.00Goals for / game1.92
1.08Goals against / game0.83
92%Over 2.567%
67%BTTS42%
33%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score8%
5-0-1Home record4-1-1
6-0-0Away record5-0-1
W2StreakL1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Barcelona · Atletico Madrid

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
20.7Shots17.4
7.3Shots on target6.4
6.7Corners5.8
1.86Cards2.50
12.0Fouls11.3
70Possession %58
3.07xG1.98
7 matchessample8 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
6.9Shots11.4
3.4Shots on target3.1
2.6Corners3.1
3.06Cards1.77
11.4Fouls9.9
30Possession %43
1.19xG0.92
7 matchessample8 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
BarcelonaMetricAtletico Madrid
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Barcelona wins
5
Draws
0
Atletico Madrid wins
2
Goals / game
3.14
Over 2.5
86%
Both score
57%