1. FC Nürnberg 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for 1. FC Nürnberg and Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Nürnberg		Arminia Bielefeld
11	Played	11
7-3-1	W-D-L	5-2-4
2.18	Pts / game	1.55
2.36	Goals for / game	1.64
1.18	Goals against / game	1.45
64%	Over 2.5	82%
64%	BTTS	73%
27%	Clean sheets	18%
9%	Failed to score	9%
4-1-1	Home record	3-2-0
3-2-0	Away record	2-0-4
W2	Streak	W2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. 1. FC Nürnberg · Arminia Bielefeld

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
21.4	Shots	9.8
7.0	Shots on target	3.2
7.4	Corners	4.2
2.00	Cards	3.17
11.2	Fouls	12.0
60	Possession %	39
1.82	xG	1.10
5 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
16.4	Shots	11.7
6.0	Shots on target	3.5
3.6	Corners	4.3
3.00	Cards	1.67
14.2	Fouls	10.5
40	Possession %	62
2.33	xG	1.32
5 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
1. FC Nürnberg	Metric	Arminia Bielefeld
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

1. FC Nürnberg wins: 2
Draws: 1
Arminia Bielefeld wins: 0
Goals / game: 3.00
Over 2.5: 33%
Both score: 67%

1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld4–12026-08-29
Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Nürnberg1–12026-04-18
1. FC Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld2–02025-11-23

2. Bundesliga table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31	Hertha BSC won 4 of the last 5
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24	1. FC Nürnberg won 2 of the last 5
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21	1. FC Kaiserslautern won 3 of the last 5
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20	1. FC Magdeburg won 3 of the last 5
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19	VfL Wolfsburg won 2 of the last 5
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17	Arminia Bielefeld won 4 of the last 5
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16	1. FC Heidenheim won 0 of the last 5
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14	VfL Bochum won 2 of the last 5
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12	FC St. Pauli won 1 of the last 5
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2 of the last 5
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12	Hannover 96 won 1 of the last 5
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11	Energie Cottbus won 0 of the last 5
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11	Eintracht Braunschweig won 2 of the last 5
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11	VfL Osnabrück won 1 of the last 5
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11	Dynamo Dresden won 2 of the last 5
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11	Karlsruher SC won 2 of the last 5
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9	SV Darmstadt 98 won 1 of the last 5
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8	Holstein Kiel won 1 of the last 5