Predicted Edge

Zamalek SC v APR

Zamalek SC won 4 of the last 41–0APR won 1 of the last 4

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Zamalek SC APR
—Shots—
—Shots on target—
—Corners—
—Fouls—
—Yellow cards—
—Red cards—
—Offsides—
—Passes—
—Possession %—
—xG—
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
22%
Both score
44%
Model pick
Zamalek SC 57%
Likely score
1-0 14%
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.78

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Match resultZamalek SC56.8%1.761.24 Betano80.6%-23.9
Match resultDraw25.9%3.875.60 Dafabet17.9%+8.0
Match resultAPR17.4%5.7613.00 William Hill7.7%+9.7
Total goalsOver 1.569.8%1.431.20 Betfair83.3%-13.6
Total goalsUnder 1.530.2%3.314.10 Betfair24.4%+5.8
Total goalsOver 2.543.1%2.321.80 Bet36555.6%-12.5
Total goalsUnder 2.556.9%1.762.15 Betfair46.5%+10.4
Total goalsOver 3.522.2%4.513.10 Betfair32.3%-10.1
Total goalsUnder 3.577.8%1.281.36 Betfair73.5%+4.3
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes44.1%2.272.80 Betfair35.7%+8.4
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No55.9%1.791.55 William Hill64.5%-8.6

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Zamalek SC favoured against APR

Our model makes Zamalek SC 57% to win this CAF Champions League fixture, with the draw at 26% and APR at 17%. The goal projection is 1.62 for Zamalek SC against 0.78 for APR — a substantial edge to Zamalek SC on expected output. A combined 2.40 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 43% and both teams to score at 44%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-0 14%
1-1 12%
2-0 12%
0-0 10%
2-1 9%

This season

Season records for Zamalek SC and APR
Zamalek SC APR
4Played4
4-0-0W-D-L1-0-3
3.00Pts / game0.75
2.00Goals for / game0.75
0.25Goals against / game0.75
50%Over 2.525%
25%BTTS0%
75%Clean sheets25%
0%Failed to score75%
2-0-0Home record1-0-1
2-0-0Away record0-0-2
W4StreakL2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Zamalek SC · APR

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
—Shots—
—Shots on target—
—Corners—
—Cards—
—Fouls—
—Possession %—
—xG—
2 matchessample2 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
—Shots—
—Shots on target—
—Corners—
—Cards—
—Fouls—
—Possession %—
—xG—
2 matchessample2 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Zamalek SCMetricAPR
1.20Goals scored2.33 (better)
1.00Goals conceded1.00
0.90Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
2.50Shots on target
9.00Total shots
Touches in opp. box
2.50Corners
56.0Possession %
464Passes
Tackles
14.50Fouls
1.50Offsides
Throw-ins
2.00Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Zamalek SC wins
2
Draws
0
APR wins
0
Goals / game
1.00
Over 2.5
0%
Both score
0%