Volos NFC v Kifisia

14th1–37th

15:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Volos NFC		Kifisia
6	Shots	11
2	Shots on target	4
2	Corners	7
16	Fouls	17
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
0	Offsides	1
348	Passes	575
38%	Possession %	62%
0.57	xG	1.18

Over 1.5: 72%
Over 2.5: 46%
Over 3.5: 25%
Both score: 52%

Model pick: Volos NFC 37%
Likely score: 1-1 13%
Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.24

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Volos NFC	37.0%	2.70	3.30 Bet365	30.3%	+6.7
Match result	Draw	28.1%	3.56	3.45 Betano	29.0%	-0.9
Match result	Kifisia	34.9%	2.87	2.62 Bet365	38.2%	-3.3
Total goals	Over 1.5	72.4%	1.38	1.32 Betano	75.8%	-3.3
Total goals	Under 1.5	27.6%	3.63	3.75 Bet365	26.7%	+0.9
Total goals	Over 2.5	46.3%	2.16	1.98 Betano	50.5%	-4.2
Total goals	Under 2.5	53.7%	1.86	1.95 Betano	51.3%	+2.4
Total goals	Over 3.5	24.8%	4.03	3.40 Betfair	29.4%	-4.6
Total goals	Under 3.5	75.2%	1.33	1.38 Betano	72.5%	+2.7
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	52.1%	1.92	1.75 William Hill	57.1%	-5.1
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	47.9%	2.09	2.20 Betfair	45.5%	+2.5

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Volos NFC v Kifisia: too close to call

Our model makes Volos NFC 37% to win this Greek Super League fixture, with the draw at 28% and Kifisia at 35%. The goal projection is 1.29 for Volos NFC against 1.24 for Kifisia — almost nothing to Volos NFC on expected output. A combined 2.53 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 52%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 13%; 1-0 10%; 0-1 9%; 0-0 9%; 2-1 8%

This season

Season records for Volos NFC and Kifisia
Volos NFC		Kifisia
10	Played	10
0-3-7	W-D-L	4-2-4
0.30	Pts / game	1.40
0.70	Goals for / game	1.50
1.90	Goals against / game	1.50
50%	Over 2.5	60%
60%	BTTS	70%
10%	Clean sheets	20%
40%	Failed to score	20%
0-2-3	Home record	1-2-2
0-1-4	Away record	3-0-2
L3	Streak	W1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Volos NFC · Kifisia

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
6.8	Shots	14.2
2.5	Shots on target	5.0
2.3	Corners	6.2
4.00	Cards	3.00
17.2	Fouls	14.2
38	Possession %	53
0.70	xG	1.24
6 matches	sample	5 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
15.7	Shots	10.2
4.8	Shots on target	3.0
6.3	Corners	3.0
2.00	Cards	2.20
16.7	Fouls	15.2
62	Possession %	47
2.03	xG	0.61
6 matches	sample	5 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Volos NFC	Metric	Kifisia
0.80	Goals scored	2.00 (better)
1.80	Goals conceded	1.00 (better)
0.75	Expected goals (xG)	1.21 (better)
	Big chances
2.50	Shots on target	4.25 (better)
7.50	Total shots	13.25 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
2.50	Corners	4.00 (better)
37.3	Possession %	50.8 (better)
282	Passes	383 (better)
	Tackles
16.00 (better)	Fouls	16.50
1.00 (better)	Offsides	2.00
	Throw-ins
3.75	Yellow cards	3.50 (better)
1.00	Red cards	0.00 (better)

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Volos NFC wins: 0
Draws: 1
Kifisia wins: 2
Goals / game: 2.67
Over 2.5: 33%
Both score: 67%

Volos NFC v Kifisia1–32026-11-07
Kifisia v Volos NFC2–02026-03-15
Volos NFC v Kifisia1–12025-12-06

Greek Super League table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Panathinaikos	10	9	0	1	+17	27	Panathinaikos won 4 of the last 5
2	Olympiakos Piraeus	10	7	2	1	+11	23	Olympiakos Piraeus won 4 of the last 5
3	AEK Athens FC	9	6	2	1	+17	20	AEK Athens FC won 4 of the last 5
4	PAOK	10	6	1	3	+6	19	PAOK won 2 of the last 5
5	Aris Thessalonikis	10	6	1	3	-1	19	Aris Thessalonikis won 4 of the last 5
6	OFI	10	5	2	3	+2	17	OFI won 2 of the last 5
7	Kifisia	10	4	2	4	0	14	Kifisia won 3 of the last 5
8	Kalamata	10	3	3	4	-4	12	Kalamata won 2 of the last 5
9	Iraklis 1908	10	2	4	4	-3	10	Iraklis 1908 won 1 of the last 5
10	Panetolikos	10	3	0	7	-12	9	Panetolikos won 0 of the last 5
11	Asteras Tripolis	10	1	4	5	-9	7	Asteras Tripolis won 1 of the last 5
12	Atromitos	9	1	3	5	-3	6	Atromitos won 1 of the last 5
13	Levadiakos	10	1	3	6	-9	6	Levadiakos won 1 of the last 5
14	Volos NFC	10	0	3	7	-12	3	Volos NFC won 0 of the last 5