Predicted Edge

Viking v Sabah FA

Viking won 4 of the last 51st4–1Sabah FA won 2 of the last 531st

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Viking Sabah FA
21Shots16
8Shots on target4
10Corners6
5Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
4Offsides3
457Passes462
51%Possession %49%
2.62xG1.61
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
51%
Both score
67%
Model pick
Viking 60%
Likely score
2-1 9%
Expected goals
2.38 – 1.33

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Match resultViking60.3%1.661.50 Betano66.7%-6.4
Match resultDraw19.8%5.055.80 Dafabet17.2%+2.5
Match resultSabah FA20.0%5.017.50 Bet36513.3%+6.6
Total goalsOver 3.550.7%1.971.83 Betano54.6%-4.0
Total goalsUnder 3.549.3%2.032.10 Betfair47.6%+1.7
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes67.1%1.491.50 Bet36566.7%+0.4
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No32.9%3.042.80 Betfair35.7%-2.8
Total goalsOver 1.588.8%1.131.10 Betano90.9%-2.1
Total goalsUnder 1.511.2%8.938.00 Bet36512.5%-1.3
Total goalsOver 2.571.5%1.401.33 Betano75.2%-3.7
Total goalsUnder 2.528.5%3.513.50 Bet36528.6%-0.1

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Viking favoured against Sabah FA

Our model makes Viking 60% to win this UEFA Champions League fixture, with the draw at 20% and Sabah FA at 20%. The goal projection is 2.38 for Viking against 1.33 for Sabah FA — a commanding edge to Viking on expected output. A combined 3.70 goals points to a wide-open game that could get away from either side, which puts over 2.5 at 72% and both teams to score at 67%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Viking is a strong favourite here on the numbers, but a 40% chance of not winning is not a remote possibility — it is roughly a one-in-three shot. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
2-1 9%
1-1 8%
3-1 7%
2-0 7%
2-2 6%

This season

Season records for Viking and Sabah FA
Viking Sabah FA
26Played12
20-2-4W-D-L7-0-5
2.38Pts / game1.75
2.65Goals for / game1.67
1.04Goals against / game1.42
77%Over 2.567%
69%BTTS50%
27%Clean sheets42%
4%Failed to score8%
13-0-0Home record5-0-1
7-2-4Away record2-0-4
W1StreakL2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Viking · Sabah FA

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
15.3Shots14.0
6.0Shots on target4.7
5.9Corners4.3
1.89Cards3.33
11.4Fouls10.7
44Possession %46
1.78xG1.55
9 matchessample3 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
17.4Shots20.3
5.2Shots on target8.3
6.8Corners8.3
1.89Cards1.33
9.3Fouls10.3
56Possession %54
1.86xG2.81
9 matchessample3 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
VikingMetricSabah FA
2.40 (better)Goals scored1.40
1.80Goals conceded0.40 (better)
1.10Expected goals (xG)1.44 (better)
Big chances
4.20Shots on target5.00 (better)
9.60Total shots13.00 (better)
Touches in opp. box
5.40 (better)Corners3.50
37.0Possession %45.0 (better)
349Passes377 (better)
Tackles
12.80Fouls11.50 (better)
1.40 (better)Offsides4.00
Throw-ins
1.60 (better)Yellow cards3.50
0.33Red cards0.00 (better)

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Viking wins
1
Draws
0
Sabah FA wins
0
Goals / game
5.00
Over 2.5
100%
Both score
100%
UEFA Champions League table
League table
#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain4400+1512Paris Saint Germain won 4 of the last 4
2Real Madrid4400+612Real Madrid won 4 of the last 4
3Arsenal4310+510Arsenal won 3 of the last 4
4Como4301+139Como won 3 of the last 4
5Barcelona4301+89Barcelona won 3 of the last 4
6Aston Villa4301+69Aston Villa won 3 of the last 4
7Manchester City4301+59Manchester City won 3 of the last 4
8Liverpool4301+49Liverpool won 3 of the last 4
9Club Brugge KV4301+49Club Brugge KV won 3 of the last 4
10Sporting CP4301+49Sporting CP won 3 of the last 4
11Real Betis4301+29Real Betis won 3 of the last 4
12Borussia Dortmund4301+29Borussia Dortmund won 3 of the last 4
13Bayern München4220+78Bayern München won 2 of the last 4
14VfB Stuttgart4211+37VfB Stuttgart won 2 of the last 4
15Inter4202+26Inter won 2 of the last 4
16Lask Linz4202+16Lask Linz won 2 of the last 4
17Manchester United420206Manchester United won 2 of the last 4
18Galatasaray4202-16Galatasaray won 2 of the last 4
19Fenerbahçe4121-55Fenerbahçe won 1 of the last 4
20AS Roma4112+24AS Roma won 1 of the last 4
21Shakhtar Donetsk411204Shakhtar Donetsk won 1 of the last 4
22Viking4112-14Viking won 1 of the last 4
23Atletico Madrid4112-14Atletico Madrid won 1 of the last 4
24PSV Eindhoven4112-14PSV Eindhoven won 1 of the last 4
25Bodo/Glimt4112-54Bodo/Glimt won 1 of the last 4
26FC Porto4103-13FC Porto won 1 of the last 4
27Napoli4103-53Napoli won 1 of the last 4
28Villarreal4103-63Villarreal won 1 of the last 4
29AEK Athens FC4103-63AEK Athens FC won 1 of the last 4
30RB Leipzig4103-63RB Leipzig won 1 of the last 4
31Sabah FA4103-63Sabah FA won 1 of the last 4
32Feyenoord4103-73Feyenoord won 1 of the last 4
33Lens4103-123Lens won 1 of the last 4
34Slavia Praha4013-41Slavia Praha won 0 of the last 4
35Lille4013-61Lille won 0 of the last 4
36Slovan Bratislava4004-160Slovan Bratislava won 0 of the last 4