Teplice v Artis

6th0–014th

13:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Teplice		Artis
22	Shots	16
7	Shots on target	4
5	Corners	7
13	Fouls	9
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
1	Offsides	1
439	Passes	425
51%	Possession %	49%
2.39	xG	1.45

Over 1.5: 85%
Over 2.5: 65%
Over 3.5: 43%
Both score: 61%

Model pick: Teplice 62%
Likely score: 2-1 10%
Expected goals: 2.22 – 1.13

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Teplice	61.5%	1.63	1.85 Dafabet	54.1%	+7.5
Match result	Draw	20.5%	4.88	3.70 Betfair	27.0%	-6.5
Match result	Artis	18.0%	5.57	5.00 Betfair	20.0%	-2.0
Total goals	Over 1.5	85.3%	1.17	1.28 Betano	78.1%	+7.2
Total goals	Under 1.5	14.7%	6.79	4.10 Betfair	24.4%	-9.7
Total goals	Over 2.5	65.2%	1.53	1.87 Betano	53.5%	+11.7
Total goals	Under 2.5	34.8%	2.88	2.02 Betano	49.5%	-14.7
Total goals	Over 3.5	43.3%	2.31	3.25 Bet365	30.8%	+12.5
Total goals	Under 3.5	56.7%	1.76	1.40 Betano	71.4%	-14.7
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	61.0%	1.64	1.75 Bet365	57.1%	+3.8
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	39.0%	2.56	2.05 BetVictor	48.8%	-9.7

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Teplice favoured against Artis

Our model makes Teplice 62% to win this Chance Liga fixture, with the draw at 20% and Artis at 18%. The goal projection is 2.22 for Teplice against 1.13 for Artis — a commanding edge to Teplice on expected output. A combined 3.36 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 65% and both teams to score at 61%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 10%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Teplice is a strong favourite here on the numbers, but a 38% chance of not winning is not a remote possibility — it is roughly a one-in-three shot. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 2-1 10%; 1-1 9%; 2-0 9%; 1-0 7%; 3-1 7%

This season

Season records for Teplice and Artis
Teplice		Artis
14	Played	14
6-3-5	W-D-L	2-4-8
1.50	Pts / game	0.71
1.57	Goals for / game	1.07
1.57	Goals against / game	2.00
43%	Over 2.5	71%
50%	BTTS	64%
29%	Clean sheets	14%
29%	Failed to score	36%
2-3-3	Home record	0-2-5
4-0-2	Away record	2-2-3
L1	Streak	L2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Teplice · Artis

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
18.4	Shots	11.8
4.8	Shots on target	4.0
6.2	Corners	3.6
1.80	Cards	3.00
14.8	Fouls	12.2
46	Possession %	43
2.09	xG	1.18
5 matches	sample	5 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
19.0	Shots	18.0
6.8	Shots on target	6.8
5.6	Corners	6.2
2.00	Cards	2.60
10.0	Fouls	11.8
54	Possession %	57
1.78	xG	1.80
5 matches	sample	5 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Teplice	Metric	Artis
2.00	Goals scored	2.20 (better)
0.60 (better)	Goals conceded	0.80
1.56 (better)	Expected goals (xG)	1.01
	Big chances
3.00	Shots on target	4.67 (better)
18.50 (better)	Total shots	12.67
	Touches in opp. box
3.50	Corners	4.67 (better)
43.7	Possession %	52.7 (better)
249	Passes	395 (better)
	Tackles
15.50	Fouls	12.67 (better)
2.00	Offsides	1.33 (better)
	Throw-ins
2.00	Yellow cards	1.67 (better)
0.00	Red cards	0.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Teplice wins: 0
Draws: 1
Artis wins: 0
Goals / game: 0.00
Over 2.5: 0%
Both score: 0%

Teplice v Artis0–02026-10-24

Chance Liga table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Slavia Praha	14	10	4	0	+28	34	Slavia Praha won 3 of the last 5
2	Slovan Liberec	13	8	2	3	+8	26	Slovan Liberec won 2 of the last 5
3	Mlada Boleslav	14	7	4	3	+7	25	Mlada Boleslav won 2 of the last 5
4	Sparta Praha	14	7	3	4	+12	24	Sparta Praha won 2 of the last 5
5	Sigma Olomouc	14	7	3	4	+2	24	Sigma Olomouc won 2 of the last 5
6	Teplice	14	6	3	5	0	21	Teplice won 1 of the last 5
7	FK Jablonec	14	6	3	5	-2	21	FK Jablonec won 2 of the last 5
8	Plzen	14	5	5	4	+7	20	Plzen won 3 of the last 5
9	Bohemians 1905	14	5	5	4	0	20	Bohemians 1905 won 2 of the last 5
10	Zbrojovka Brno	14	6	2	6	-5	20	Zbrojovka Brno won 1 of the last 5
11	Hradec Králové	14	5	3	6	-1	18	Hradec Králové won 1 of the last 5
12	Pardubice	14	5	2	7	-1	17	Pardubice won 3 of the last 5
13	Baník Ostrava	13	4	2	7	-13	14	Baník Ostrava won 1 of the last 5
14	Artis	14	2	4	8	-13	10	Artis won 1 of the last 5
15	Slovácko	14	2	4	8	-13	10	Slovácko won 2 of the last 5
16	Zlin	14	0	3	11	-16	3	Zlin won 0 of the last 5