Swindon Town 2–2 Accrington ST

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Swindon Town and Accrington ST
Swindon Town		Accrington ST
14	Played	14
5-4-5	W-D-L	4-7-3
1.36	Pts / game	1.36
1.07	Goals for / game	1.64
1.21	Goals against / game	1.21
50%	Over 2.5	50%
50%	BTTS	64%
14%	Clean sheets	29%
50%	Failed to score	21%
4-2-1	Home record	3-4-0
1-2-4	Away record	1-3-3
W1	Streak	D1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Swindon Town · Accrington ST

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
12.4	Shots	17.1
3.6	Shots on target	5.1
4.6	Corners	6.9
1.14	Cards	2.29
9.1	Fouls	11.9
48	Possession %	47
1.41	xG	1.23
7 matches	sample	7 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
14.7	Shots	7.7
6.0	Shots on target	2.3
6.6	Corners	3.9
1.00	Cards	2.00
8.0	Fouls	10.9
52	Possession %	53
1.78	xG	0.72
7 matches	sample	7 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Swindon Town	Metric	Accrington ST
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Swindon Town wins: 0
Draws: 2
Accrington ST wins: 1
Goals / game: 3.33
Over 2.5: 67%
Both score: 67%

Swindon Town v Accrington ST1–12026-09-26
Swindon Town v Accrington ST2–22026-04-18
Accrington ST v Swindon Town4–02025-10-18

League Two table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Salford City	14	10	1	3	+10	31	Salford City won 5 of the last 5
2	Barnet	13	7	5	1	+10	26	Barnet won 2 of the last 5
3	Walsall	13	5	7	1	+9	22	Walsall won 2 of the last 5
4	Crewe	14	5	7	2	0	22	Crewe won 2 of the last 5
5	Cheltenham	14	6	3	5	-2	21	Cheltenham won 2 of the last 5
6	Grimsby	14	5	5	4	+6	20	Grimsby won 2 of the last 5
7	York	14	5	5	4	+3	20	York won 1 of the last 5
8	Gillingham	14	5	5	4	+1	20	Gillingham won 2 of the last 5
9	Accrington ST	14	4	7	3	+6	19	Accrington ST won 2 of the last 5
10	Chesterfield	14	5	4	5	+3	19	Chesterfield won 1 of the last 5
11	Tranmere	14	4	7	3	+2	19	Tranmere won 2 of the last 5
12	Exeter City	14	5	4	5	+2	19	Exeter City won 3 of the last 5
13	Swindon Town	14	5	4	5	-2	19	Swindon Town won 2 of the last 5
14	Newport County	14	4	6	4	+3	18	Newport County won 2 of the last 5
15	Shrewsbury	14	5	3	6	-5	18	Shrewsbury won 2 of the last 5
16	Fleetwood Town	14	4	5	5	0	17	Fleetwood Town won 2 of the last 5
17	Bristol Rovers	14	5	1	8	-6	16	Bristol Rovers won 0 of the last 5
18	Oldham	14	4	3	7	-4	15	Oldham won 2 of the last 5
19	Port Vale	12	4	3	5	-4	15	Port Vale won 3 of the last 5
20	Rochdale	14	4	3	7	-9	15	Rochdale won 0 of the last 5
21	Northampton	13	3	5	5	-1	14	Northampton won 2 of the last 5
22	Rotherham	14	2	6	6	-7	12	Rotherham won 0 of the last 5
23	Colchester	13	2	6	5	-7	12	Colchester won 0 of the last 5
24	Crawley Town	12	2	3	7	-8	9	Crawley Town won 1 of the last 5