Sheffield Wednesday 0–3 Derby

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Sheffield Wednesday and Derby
Sheffield Wednesday		Derby
13	Played	15
5-5-3	W-D-L	2-4-9
1.54	Pts / game	0.67
1.69	Goals for / game	0.93
1.08	Goals against / game	2.00
46%	Over 2.5	60%
54%	BTTS	60%
23%	Clean sheets	7%
38%	Failed to score	33%
2-4-1	Home record	1-2-5
3-1-2	Away record	1-2-4
D2	Streak	W1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Sheffield Wednesday · Derby

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
15.8	Shots	12.3
5.7	Shots on target	4.3
5.2	Corners	4.6
2.50	Cards	2.13
10.5	Fouls	11.5
59	Possession %	45
1.41	xG	1.06
6 matches	sample	8 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
15.2	Shots	15.4
4.7	Shots on target	6.1
7.0	Corners	5.0
1.67	Cards	1.88
13.0	Fouls	8.6
41	Possession %	55
1.49	xG	2.04
6 matches	sample	8 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Sheffield Wednesday	Metric	Derby
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Sheffield Wednesday wins: 0
Draws: 0
Derby wins: 2
Goals / game: 3.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 50%

Derby v Sheffield Wednesday2–12026-03-07
Sheffield Wednesday v Derby0–32025-12-15

Championship table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Southampton	14	8	4	2	+15	28	Southampton won 3 of the last 5
2	Middlesbrough	14	8	4	2	+11	28	Middlesbrough won 3 of the last 5
3	Wolves	14	8	3	3	+8	27	Wolves won 4 of the last 5
4	Birmingham	14	7	5	2	+13	26	Birmingham won 4 of the last 5
5	Stoke City	14	8	2	4	+5	26	Stoke City won 3 of the last 5
6	Swansea	14	8	2	4	+5	26	Swansea won 2 of the last 5
7	West Brom	14	7	4	3	+5	25	West Brom won 3 of the last 5
8	West Ham	14	6	5	3	+15	23	West Ham won 2 of the last 5
9	Sheffield Utd	14	6	4	4	+3	22	Sheffield Utd won 3 of the last 5
10	Portsmouth	14	6	4	4	+3	22	Portsmouth won 3 of the last 5
11	QPR	14	5	6	3	+5	21	QPR won 2 of the last 5
12	Norwich	14	6	0	8	+3	18	Norwich won 3 of the last 5
13	Millwall	14	5	3	6	-1	18	Millwall won 1 of the last 5
14	Blackburn	14	5	3	6	-2	18	Blackburn won 2 of the last 5
15	Bristol City	14	5	3	6	-3	18	Bristol City won 1 of the last 5
16	Wrexham	14	4	5	5	-2	17	Wrexham won 2 of the last 5
17	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17	Bolton won 1 of the last 5
18	Cardiff	14	3	6	5	-1	15	Cardiff won 2 of the last 5
19	Lincoln	14	4	3	7	-10	15	Lincoln won 1 of the last 5
20	Watford	14	4	2	8	-10	14	Watford won 2 of the last 5
21	Charlton	14	3	5	6	-11	14	Charlton won 0 of the last 5
22	Burnley	14	1	7	6	-8	10	Burnley won 0 of the last 5
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10	Derby won 1 of the last 5
24	Preston	14	1	2	11	-18	5	Preston won 0 of the last 5