Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Sassuolo and Lecce
Sassuolo		Lecce
10	Played	10
2-2-6	W-D-L	3-0-7
0.80	Pts / game	0.90
1.60	Goals for / game	1.10
2.60	Goals against / game	2.10
80%	Over 2.5	70%
90%	BTTS	40%
0%	Clean sheets	20%
10%	Failed to score	40%
2-1-2	Home record	1-0-4
0-1-4	Away record	2-0-3
L4	Streak	L3

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Sassuolo · Lecce

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
11.0	Shots	15.2
3.9	Shots on target	6.0
3.7	Corners	5.2
1.63	Cards	1.92
9.6	Fouls	14.8
50	Possession %	43
1.13	xG	1.43
7 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
15.9	Shots	13.5
7.1	Shots on target	4.2
5.3	Corners	3.7
2.29	Cards	0.67
13.1	Fouls	9.7
50	Possession %	57
2.02	xG	1.64
7 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Sassuolo	Metric	Lecce
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Sassuolo wins: 0
Draws: 1
Lecce wins: 1
Goals / game: 2.50
Over 2.5: 50%
Both score: 50%

Sassuolo v Lecce2–32026-05-17
Lecce v Sassuolo0–02025-10-18

Serie A table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	+16	28	Lazio won 5 of the last 5
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	+13	25	Inter won 4 of the last 5
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	+18	24	AS Roma won 3 of the last 5
4	Como	10	7	2	1	+10	23	Como won 4 of the last 5
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	+9	21	AC Milan won 3 of the last 5
6	Frosinone	10	6	2	2	+10	20	Frosinone won 3 of the last 5
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	+3	17	Juventus won 2 of the last 5
8	Napoli	10	4	2	4	+4	14	Napoli won 2 of the last 5
9	Bologna	10	4	2	4	+1	14	Bologna won 4 of the last 5
10	Torino	10	4	1	5	-2	13	Torino won 3 of the last 5
11	Genoa	10	4	1	5	-4	13	Genoa won 4 of the last 5
12	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	-6	13	Cagliari won 0 of the last 5
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	-4	11	Atalanta won 1 of the last 5
14	Lecce	10	3	0	7	-10	9	Lecce won 1 of the last 5
15	Parma	10	2	2	6	-7	8	Parma won 1 of the last 5
16	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	-8	8	Fiorentina won 1 of the last 5
17	Sassuolo	10	2	2	6	-10	8	Sassuolo won 0 of the last 5
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	-7	7	Monza won 1 of the last 5
19	Udinese	10	1	2	7	-12	5	Udinese won 0 of the last 5
20	Venezia	10	1	0	9	-14	3	Venezia won 1 of the last 5