Sabadell v FC Andorra

13th0–019th

19:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Sabadell		FC Andorra
19	Shots	4
3	Shots on target	0
11	Corners	0
13	Fouls	10
2	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	0
2	Offsides	0
291	Passes	356
54%	Possession %	46%
—	xG	—

Over 1.5: 79%
Over 2.5: 55%
Over 3.5: 32%
Both score: 58%

Model pick: Sabadell 46%
Likely score: 1-1 12%
Expected goals: 1.63 – 1.25

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Sabadell	45.7%	2.19	2.00 Betano	50.0%	-4.3
Match result	Draw	25.8%	3.88	3.30 Betano	30.3%	-4.5
Match result	FC Andorra	28.6%	3.50	4.33 Bet365	23.1%	+5.5
Total goals	Over 1.5	78.8%	1.27	1.44 Betano	69.4%	+9.4
Total goals	Under 1.5	21.2%	4.72	3.00 Bet365	33.3%	-12.2
Total goals	Over 2.5	54.8%	1.82	2.30 Bet365	43.5%	+11.3
Total goals	Under 2.5	45.2%	2.21	—	—	—
Total goals	Over 3.5	32.5%	3.08	4.33 Betfair	23.1%	+9.4
Total goals	Under 3.5	67.5%	1.48	1.24 Betano	80.6%	-13.1
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	58.0%	1.73	2.00 William Hill	50.0%	+8.0
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	42.0%	2.38	1.87 Betfair	53.5%	-11.4

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Sabadell favoured against FC Andorra

Our model makes Sabadell 46% to win this Segunda División fixture, with the draw at 26% and FC Andorra at 29%. The goal projection is 1.63 for Sabadell against 1.25 for FC Andorra — a clear edge to Sabadell on expected output. A combined 2.88 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 55% and both teams to score at 58%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 12%; 2-1 9%; 1-0 8%; 2-0 7%; 1-2 7%

This season

Season records for Sabadell and FC Andorra
Sabadell		FC Andorra
13	Played	12
4-6-3	W-D-L	3-2-7
1.38	Pts / game	0.92
0.92	Goals for / game	1.42
0.85	Goals against / game	1.83
31%	Over 2.5	58%
46%	BTTS	58%
38%	Clean sheets	17%
46%	Failed to score	33%
3-3-0	Home record	2-0-4
1-3-3	Away record	1-2-3
D1	Streak	D1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Sabadell · FC Andorra

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
15.1	Shots	10.5
3.6	Shots on target	5.2
5.4	Corners	4.0
2.77	Cards	4.50
17.3	Fouls	17.3
49	Possession %	57
1.11	xG	1.67
8 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
9.1	Shots	13.8
2.5	Shots on target	4.0
3.9	Corners	6.2
2.52	Cards	2.00
11.3	Fouls	9.7
51	Possession %	43
1.10	xG	1.25
8 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (4 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Sabadell	Metric	FC Andorra
1.75 (better)	Goals scored	1.00
1.50 (better)	Goals conceded	2.00
1.33	Expected goals (xG)	1.66 (better)
	Big chances
5.75 (better)	Shots on target	5.00
16.00	Total shots	16.60 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
5.25	Corners	6.00 (better)
45.0	Possession %	63.2 (better)
348	Passes	512 (better)
	Tackles
17.25	Fouls	16.80 (better)
2.00 (better)	Offsides	3.25
	Throw-ins
2.25 (better)	Yellow cards	3.00
0.00	Red cards	0.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Sabadell wins: 0
Draws: 1
FC Andorra wins: 0
Goals / game: 0.00
Over 2.5: 0%
Both score: 0%

Sabadell v FC Andorra0–02026-10-04

Segunda División table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29	Almeria won 3 of the last 5
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27	Castellón won 2 of the last 5
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24	Burgos won 3 of the last 5
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23	Eibar won 1 of the last 5
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23	Granada CF won 5 of the last 5
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22	Mallorca won 2 of the last 5
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22	Sporting Gijon won 3 of the last 5
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21	Girona won 2 of the last 5
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21	Oviedo won 3 of the last 5
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20	Las Palmas won 3 of the last 5
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19	Cordoba won 3 of the last 5
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18	Valladolid won 3 of the last 5
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18	Sabadell won 1 of the last 5
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15	Tenerife won 0 of the last 5
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14	Eldense won 2 of the last 5
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13	Celta de Vigo II won 1 of the last 5
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12	Real Sociedad II won 1 of the last 5
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12	Leganes won 0 of the last 5
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11	FC Andorra won 1 of the last 5
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10	Cadiz won 1 of the last 5
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10	Albacete won 3 of the last 5
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5	AD Ceuta FC won 0 of the last 5