Rio Ave 3–3 Estrela

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Rio Ave and Estrela
Rio Ave		Estrela
11	Played	11
2-1-8	W-D-L	2-4-5
0.64	Pts / game	0.91
0.82	Goals for / game	1.55
2.18	Goals against / game	2.00
55%	Over 2.5	73%
27%	BTTS	73%
9%	Clean sheets	0%
64%	Failed to score	27%
1-1-4	Home record	1-2-3
1-0-4	Away record	1-2-2
L3	Streak	L5

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Rio Ave · Estrela

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
8.5	Shots	12.6
4.3	Shots on target	2.6
4.5	Corners	4.4
2.75	Cards	1.60
13.0	Fouls	12.0
56	Possession %	54
0.95	xG	1.32
4 matches	sample	5 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
12.5	Shots	10.2
4.3	Shots on target	4.0
5.8	Corners	5.0
0.50	Cards	2.00
15.5	Fouls	11.2
45	Possession %	46
1.46	xG	0.80
4 matches	sample	5 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Rio Ave	Metric	Estrela
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Rio Ave wins: 2
Draws: 1
Estrela wins: 0
Goals / game: 4.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

Rio Ave v Estrela3–32026-09-14
Rio Ave v Estrela2–12026-03-15
Estrela v Rio Ave1–22025-10-25

Primeira Liga table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	11	11	0	0	+22	33	FC Porto won 5 of the last 5
2	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+20	28	Benfica won 4 of the last 5
3	Sporting CP	11	7	3	1	+13	24	Sporting CP won 3 of the last 5
4	Santa Clara	11	6	3	2	+8	21	Santa Clara won 2 of the last 5
5	Arouca	11	6	2	3	+5	20	Arouca won 3 of the last 5
6	Academico Viseu	11	6	2	3	+2	20	Academico Viseu won 4 of the last 5
7	GIL Vicente	11	5	3	3	+2	18	GIL Vicente won 3 of the last 5
8	SC Braga	11	5	2	4	+2	17	SC Braga won 2 of the last 5
9	Moreirense	11	4	2	5	-5	14	Moreirense won 2 of the last 5
10	Famalicao	11	3	4	4	+1	13	Famalicao won 3 of the last 5
11	Alverca	11	3	3	5	-1	12	Alverca won 2 of the last 5
12	Estrela	11	2	4	5	-5	10	Estrela won 0 of the last 5
13	Nacional	11	3	1	7	-8	10	Nacional won 2 of the last 5
14	Vitória SC	11	2	3	6	-1	9	Vitória SC won 1 of the last 5
15	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	-12	8	Maritimo won 0 of the last 5
16	Casa Pia	11	2	2	7	-14	8	Casa Pia won 2 of the last 5
17	Rio Ave	11	2	1	8	-15	7	Rio Ave won 1 of the last 5
18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	-14	2	Estoril won 0 of the last 5